The causes of mistakes that brought to International Geopolitical Weakness the EU

The Turkish invasion of northern Syria and its successful military outcome for Turkey, while the inability to establish an intense and well-organised EU response on this issue, highlighted the very low power that the EU holds to influence any geopolitical developments in the Middle East neighbourhood.

This EU weakness is based on geopolitical mistakes in strategy that the EU has previously participated in and on previous military interventions that took place in other Middle East countries and not only, with a failed political result due to no plan for the next day.

by Thanos S. Chonthrogiannis

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The wrong strategies reveal the causes

Middle East

The military invasion of Iraq (1991) known as the First Gulf War was intended to completely weaken the dictator Saddam Hussein (1979-2003) and his regime by turning Iraq into a controlled protectorate of the West. In the second Gulf War (2003) the invasion of Iraq in which the EU participated it was based on deliberately misinformation where the brutal dictator Saddam Hussein (1979-2003) he owned weapons of mass destruction.

The invasion of its military arm succeeded in neutralizing Saddam Hussein’s regime and his death but failed in its long-term political arm and given that Iraq neither managed to democratized nor became a safe place for to develop modern democratic attitudes and actions that could lead to a modern functioning democratic governance. On the contrary, it became a battlefield of different and corrupt factions that want to control it.

The political, administrative and military collapse of Iraq has enabled the influence of Iran’s theocratic regime to emerge dynamically in Iraq and throughout the Middle East. This was made possible by the collapse of Saddam Hussein’s regime, which were Sunni, and the rise in the power of much of the Iraqi population who are Shiites and they are controlled by Iran.

The Shiitic majority of Iraq through Iran has gradually created the so-called barbaric in all respects an Islamic State that occupied about 30% of Iraq’s territory and in an expansive direction west of Syria. In addition, it was strengthened in terms of human resources, funding and weaponry, Hezbollah which is also Shiites and is supported by Iran. 

The political and administrative collapse of Iraq was replaced by a chain of corrupt governments who cared about maintaining their power and their personal enrichment. The recent dynamic demonstrations by the Iraqi youth had to do with corruption and life deadlock that face even though Iraq through its exports to oil could live the whole of its population.

Western Balkans

Between the First and Second Gulf War took part the NATO invasion in the Western Balkans, and specifically in Serbia with aim to weaken Serbia, which is then supported by the weak from many sides Russia, for the benefit of the Albanian and Muslim population in the Western Balkans. EU participation in this type of air invasion and bombing was also evident.

The result was to create an open wound and suspicion in Serbia, which today, with the help of Russia and its allies, is trying to find an opportunity to avenge its then bombing.

The unilateral support of the US and the EU to the Albanian-speaking population of the Western Balkans it will create a potential war between Albania and Serbia, increasingly removing Serbia away from the EU. Indeed, Serbia, a European country, concluded an agreement on its entry as a full member of the Eurasian Economic Union!!!!!! 

The recent refusal by France, Holland and Denmark to begin accession processes with the Western Balkan countries of North Macedonia and Albania, in addition to all others, have their base and these unresolved problems-open wounds of past.

Middle East

The fact that the Second Gulf War (2003) took part based on the deliberately misinformation of the European Parliaments created a climate of suspicion and reflection among EU member countries. The great political victim of this deception by his country’s Parliament was former British Prime Minister Tony Blair (1997-2006).

He was considered the most responsible for the deception of the English Parliament and the UK’s involvement in the Second Gulf War in terms of false information about the possession by the Iraqi regime of weapons of mass destruction.

The political collapse and obsolescence of Tony Blair had a dramatic, subsequent events, consequences for the EU. Tony Blair was the most genuine EU-friendly leader of the UK, whose absence of both this and the Labour Party from power grissom and strengthened in the English society the current momentum in favour of Brexit.

At the same time, the UK’s next governments and power parties found that both public opinion and Parliament expressing voters did not want for any reason the UK to be involved by taking part in war clashes with their troops.

Any UK government going against this hitherto grounded view in the British public opinion would have very important political costs. This became evident when former British Prime Minister David Cameron (2010-2016) failed to get the British Parliament’s approval to send British troops to operations against the Assad regime in Syria, and when Assad made use weapons of mass destruction against his opponents.

France (EU) pioneered and joined the United States in the Syrian civil war, which began in 2011 with the aim of overturning the Assad regime. Today and after eight years of war the Assad regime is being maintained in power with the help of the Shiites of Iran and Russia, while Turkey controls a territorial part of Syria without the EU being able to do something by simply remaining a spectator and even worse without to be calculated by any of the war winners in Syria.

North Africa

EU participation in military invasions through NATO did not only stop in the Middle East but took part in the air raid in Libya (2011) to overturn the regime of Muammar al-Gaddafi (1969-2011), arguing effortlessly dissidents who had in their ranks and the tzichantists.

The outcome of the air raid was successful in its military arm but a failure in its political and administrative arm, in the sense that there was no credible plan to pass Libya into a new political phase that would allow a democratic-style governance to be applied.

Libya’s political and administrative collapse has enabled, as in Iraq, the armed forces of various factions who are fighting in a civil war for the same benefit to emerge in the foreground, while the forces of the tzicantists are constantly appearing.

The failure of the political and administrative arm of Libya day after air invasion had, in analogy, with British Prime Minister Tony Blair its own political victim, and given that France and the United States pioneered in the Libyan air raid.

French President Nicolas Sarkozy (2007-2012), a predominantly great EU politician with a vision to transform the EU into a federation with a common budget and a common fiscal-tax policy, had been fully damaged politically while confronted with accusations that he had received money from the regime of Muammar al-Gaddafi to finance his presidential campaign.

The Middle East (Iraq, Syria), the Western Balkans (Serbia, Kosovo, Bosnia and Herzegovina) and North Africa (Libya) were crowned with failures for the EU.

The error in all these cases was that the EU had never at its disposal a fully credible plan to be implemented on the day after that would stabilise existing or create from scratch all those political institutions that would lead to a democratic political and administrative transition these countries.

All that was achieved was chaos and prominence in most cases of new enemies-forces to the West and its culture, making it if not impossible at least hostile the presence of the EU in these territories.

Collateral damages

All these wars in which the EU participated, created waves of refugees and migrants from both these countries and from other Asian and African countries to the EU. It is a fact that Iraq of Saddam Hussein functioned atypical as the shield of Europe against migratory flows originating from distant Asian countries such as Pakistan, Afghanistan, India, Bangladesh, etc.

The regime of Muammar al-Gaddafi in Libya functioned as a shield against migratory flows from the countries of the sub-Saharan Africa. The problem of migration is experiencing both the EU’s cohesion and its institutions, as it gives the possibility of “revolution” to its member countries in relation to any common line decided by Brussels.

What is lacking in the EU is both short-and long-term planning involving countries in its external region and international foreign policy in general.

The answer to this problem is given by the start of the application of a common Eurozone federal type budget, which will allow the implementation of a common fiscal and tax policy across the euro area which in turn will finance both the creating a common defence policy and common EU armed forces and a common foreign policy that can be enforced by fist when it is needed.

For the  reader  who  wants  to  know how all this is going to be achieved he/she can read the analyses    titled  “the  Proper  Way  to  achieve  The Single  Operating  Federal  Type  Budget  of  the  Eurozone-Part  I» & «the Proper  Way  to  achieve  the  Single  Operating  Federal  Type  Budget  of the  Eurozone-Part II‘,  as  well as the  four  analyses entitled “the Sustainable Solution for the Eurozone Economy-Part I, II, III, IV equally”  in the  category  Economics & Finance = > Fiscal Economics  and the  analysis “the Creation of the European (EU) Defense & it’s defense Forces“.