2021 is a landmark year for the U.S. Armed Forces as it marks 20 years of U.S. stalemate in this hardline South Central Asian country, Afghanistan. US President Joe Biden said he “cannot imagine American soldiers next year in Afghanistan.” But he did not say the exact date of withdrawal, noting that the final date would be decided by the military command.
Information of our website (https://www.liberalglobe.com) they say that by mid-November 2021 US forces will have fully withdrawn from Afghanistan unless NATO decides to continue the stay of its troops.
by Thanos S. Chonthrogiannis
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The cost to the US of staying in that country is off limits, an issue that forces them not to continue staying in that country. The scapegoat now used to pull the U.S. out of this chronic impasse by leaving without vulnerability to the superpower’s prestige is the talks taking place in Doha, Qatar between the official Western-backed Afghan government and the Taliban.
But these negotiations are not moving in the direction the West wants and given that the Taliban dominate the province of the country while the Afghan government controls a central area in the center of the country.
The Taliban have the support of most of the population and draw their soldiers from this population. This shows that the Taliban cannot lose war, because most of the people are in their favour.
The corruption-plagued Afghan government controls a zone in the center of the country and negotiations move to prevent them from conquering this controlled zone and then the Taliban will not hurt the Afghan government once US and NATO troops equally leave the country (for more information please read the analysis titled “U.S. President’s Dilemma: U.S. Forces Will Leave or Remain in Afghanistan, Iraq and Yemen”).
The Taliban’s main ally is Pakistan, which has no reason to pressure the Taliban to change the direction of the negotiations.
It turns out, then, after twenty years of US residence in the country, that counterterrorism is not achieved by the presence of US and NATO troops. It will only be achieved when the people of Afghanistan want through the internal development of a political dynamic.
The Taliban may be fanatically loyal to their religion but are unwilling to join jihadist organizations (e.g., ISIS, Al Qaeda) to engage in international action. This is because the Taliban are racially structured and have only national aspirations for sovereignty.
Funding specific local militias and Western-backed groups can bring more and more quality results than has emerged to date.
