In the last seven years, a gigantic geopolitical transformation in Eurasia has accelerated. This process is the result of a number of factors.
The shaping factors of Eurasia
• The unifying trend (economic, political, military) between Russia and China through the vast lattice of land in northwestern China, Siberia, Mongolia, and the Central Asian former Soviet republics. The West has pushed the major Eurasian powers, China and Russia, into an anti-American coalition.
This coalition has accelerated in recent years, after the catastrophic choice of the Anglo-Saxon countries, dragging the EU to engage in a cold war with Russia on the issue of the annexation of Crimea by Russia. Russia, isolated from Europe, is moving towards unification with China.
• Trapped in the China Sea by US naval power and dependent on foreign economics for its exports and imports to power its economy in both energy and raw materials, China is moving in the right direction. creating the Silk Road that will unite it with the rest of the world and avoid the possibilities of US naval intervention. At the same time, China, in turn, is moving towards unification with Russia, seeking cover from Russia’s scary-sized nuclear umbrella.
• Both Russia – which is constantly extracting gas and oil in the Arctic where the Arctic produces 10% of its Russian GDP – as well as China, which continues to invest in its dependence on lignite for electricity generation, exacerbating its phenomenon.
Both countries have vested interests in accelerating climate change for the worse. Rising global temperatures are reducing Arctic sea ice by creating the conditions for new maritime trade routes that are much shorter than existing ones and will not be controlled by the US. The EU is trying with its policy to block this plan and especially to block Russia (please read the analysis entitled “EU-Russia Rivalry over the Arctic“).
Russia, in turn, is investing in new technology icebreakers to seize these new opportunities in the global maritime transport system.
Russia’s strategy is focused on building these regular high-speed, fast-moving sea trade routes around northern Eurasia, with the aim of reducing the importance of US-controlled open οceanic trade routes. Combined with China’s Silk Roads, these will be the main land and sea trade routes in Eurasia, the arteries and backbone of a unified geopolitical complex that will develop into the first terrestrial hyper Power in history.
A hyper Power in the heart of Asia that will be almost isolated from the oceans and out of control of the largest naval superpower on the planet, will seek its further expansion-spread to the rest of Asia and Europe.
• Its expansion must necessarily include the entire Turkic and Muslim populations of the former Central Asian republics, respectively. So we conclude that, sooner or later, these populations will be forced due to the power of Russia-China to integrate into this hyper Power formed by these two countries. Turkey will also be absorbed by this size because otherwise the Turkic-speaking population of Central Asia will be cut off from the connecting links.
US policy should be a land-based entrenchment between Europe and Russia so that this hyper power does not subsequently absorb Europe into its “body”.
