It finally seems that US President Trump is determined to go all the way with the Iranian regime, since there are now clear military indications of much more intense air strikes as well as amphibious and airborne operations in the coming days in Iran.
The US has deployed more than 160 refueling aircraft
The US has deployed more than 160 refueling aircraft in the Centcom (Central Command) and Eucom (US European Command) areas for military operations against Iran.
Meanwhile, it has also been said that the US Department of Defense will send a reconnaissance unit consisting of about 2,500 marines to the Middle East.
According to information received, 17 KC-46A “Pegasus” aircraft and 62 KC-135 “Stratotanker” aircraft are deployed at airfields under CENTCOM control near the area of operations, as well as at the joint UK-US base, Diego Garcia.
It has been established that more than 40 of these are located at Ben Gurion Airport in Israel.
In addition, approximately 36 KC-135 aircraft and 1 KC-46A aircraft are deployed at bases in Southern Europe and the Mediterranean. It is believed that these aircraft are likely refueling aircraft originating from the UK.
UK opens its bases to US use
After the UK opened its bases to US use, many US bombers began using RAF Fairford in the UK for attacks on Iran.
15 KC-46A tanker aircraft and 33 KC-135 tanker aircraft have been deployed to the UK, Lajes Air Base in Portugal and bases in Northern Europe.
2500 US Marines to be sent to the Middle East
On the other hand, it has been claimed that the US Department of Defense (Pentagon) will send a Marine reconnaissance unit to the Middle East.
Officials said the request came from US Central Command (CENTCOM) and provided information that the Marine unit consists of about 2,500 people.
Trump’s goal is to end the war in three (3) weeks at the latest
Our assessment is that Trump intends to prolong the war for a few more weeks, no more than three (3), hoping to crush Iran and get it to capitulate on his terms.
We interpret this, from the lifting of sanctions by the US for 1 month on Russian oil exports, in combination with the release of 400 million barrels of oil, approximately 1/3 of global reserves, stimulating energy movements in the global market.
A change in tactics is required by the US
However, in order to achieve Trump’s goal in time, a change in tactics is required by the US, since the Iranian regime does not seem willing to retreat, but neither does the Iranian people seem willing to take to the streets against it for the time being, so Trump will have to change tactics.
First, the US must destroy all small boats, USVs and coastal Iranian missile batteries located in the Persian Gulf, so that they cease to threaten tankers.
For this purpose, the assistance of satellites, drones, fighter jets, warships in general, and special forces if required, is required to clean up the Persian Gulf.
A very good tactical move by the US would be to occupy the strategically important island of Kharg in Iran in the Persian Gulf, as well as to create bridgeheads on the coast of Iran in the Persian Gulf, in combination with the choice of the city as a stronghold of the uprising against the Iranian regime.
This is, in our opinion, the reason for the hasty dispatch of US Marines to the region.
The US should also redeploy the positions of its anti-aircraft batteries in the Gulf countries, so as to cover the area from Basra to the Strait of Hormuz, while its fighters should be in the air in the above area constantly.
Finally, the US should bring in interceptor drones against Iranian drones in the region.
The choice of the city as a stronghold of the uprising against the Iranian regime
However, in order for the Iranian people to take to the streets en masse and for the Iranian regime to fall, their uprising must begin in a city that can serve as an example for the rest, dragging them along.
This city that will be chosen by the US should be relatively small, geographically serve the US armed forces so that it is a few minutes away from their aircraft carrier located off the coast of the Persian Gulf, such as the coastal city of Konarak with (45,000) inhabitants, which is located east of the Straits of Hormuz and belongs to the Sistan and Mafoulakhistan province of Iran, with the vast majority of it being Baluchis and not Persians.
In the city in question, the Basij, the police, the IRGC, and generally any force supporting the Iranian regime should be mercilessly attacked by the US air force.
Proclamations in Baluchi and Persian calling on the city’s population to take to the streets should be dropped, while US attack helicopters will accompany Special Forces transports, creating a cordon around the city being “liberated” from the Iranian regime, while Marines will land on a nearby beach.
Food and medical supplies should be transported to the Iranian population of the city in areas around its perimeter, inviting the rebel population to receive them.
Finally, there should be an agreement between the US military authorities and the city authorities who will have seized power in it, in order to hoist flags without the symbol of the Theocratic revolution in the center, which will have been distributed by the US, but also to take to the streets against the regime.
Under no circumstances should American soldiers initially enter the Iranian city because this would have a very negative impact, while major television networks should be called in to show the images worldwide.
