Syrian President Bashar Al-Assad, having wiped ISIS from Syrian territory, wants to rebuild and restructure his country, a goal that will take decades to achieve by demanding huge funds that, of course, Syria and Russia supporting the Assad regime do not have.
To achieve this, however, Syria’s debt to Iran must first be repaid for the Iranians and their friendly militias to leave. Again, the problem for Syria is that these funds also do not exist to repay the debt to Iran.
by Thanos S. Chonthrogiannis
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Photo by the website https://en.wikipedia.org
The state of Israel, on the other hand, does not in any way want Iranians and their supporters to be in Syria who can at any time mobilise mercenary forces to target a possible attack on Israel.
The interests of the Assad regime and Israel intersect at this point. The Iranians’ withdrawal from Syria in any way.
Both Syria and Russia do not have the necessary funds for the reconstruction of Syria. Among the Asian countries with these funds are China and the Persian Gulf countries.
Russia knows that if China lends the necessary funds it will demand political and military-style exchanges from Syria and Russia. Possible air and naval bases in the Mediterranean Sea will bring China’s military presence to the edge of West Asia in front of the EU for the first time, creating the alternative Route of the Silk Road.
For these reasons Russia does not want to see China make Syria its satellite. Russia favours Syria’s alliance with the Persian Gulf countries (countries belonging to the Sunni arc-Saudi Arabia, UAE, Bahrain).
At this point Russia is leading the Assad regime in thawing its relations with Israel because through Israel and the Abraham Agreements Syria can access the UAE, Bahrain (EU and Middle East in the post-Covid-19 Season) to request the necessary funding. But the issue in this case will be handled by the US through Israel and the United States and specific exchanges will be requested from Syria and Russia.
If Syria is funded by the Persian Gulf countries, the benefits for the Bashar al-Assad regime will be for the Iranians to flee Syria by repaying Syria’s debt to Iran and consolidating its regime, which will be in line with Russia’s positions.
For its part, Israel, to strengthen its peace and security with Syria, may, as an act of goodwill, cede control to Syria of some villages in the Golan Heights. It is highly likely that these negotiations between Israel and Syria will be announced before the elections in Israel.
