For the US, Trump is definitely a good choice. He will try to stop the internal decline and mainly bring production back to the US. The prospects for success of this policy are bleak since the US population has lost a skilled workforce and work ethic. Desire alone cannot turn the tide.
For Russia, the Trump administration probably does not matter much. Trump has the advantage that with him the war on Ukrainian soil can probably be ended more quickly. At the same time, he has the disadvantage that he will try to stop the decline of the US, which may be crowned with some successes. Short-term advantages for Russia versus long-term disadvantages (with the Democrats in power it would be the other way around).
For China, it also does not matter. The US two-party establishment has positioned itself extremely hostile towards Beijing in recent years. Trump tends to be worse for China. He lost the first trade war against China magnificently and will want revenge. More aggressive steps are expected from his side than from the Democrats if he were in power.
For the EU, Trump should be the best alternative. While the Democrats secretly dismantled the EU with Russia and China as enemies, Trump is dismantling it more directly and openly. In this way he provokes more resistance. Already during his first term, the EU had started talking about independence. After Trump came the Great Recession and the complete loss of autonomy. Now, the chances of this do not look rosy, but they are at least a little better with Trump than without him.
We remind you:
1. 2023 marked the loss of France’s African colonies (by Russia). Thus, France’s imperial role has been lost. Access to cheap resources (including uranium, which is so important for France) has been lost. Independent energy security (based on uranium in France) no longer exists in the long term.
2. Germany has been deprived of its energy autonomy and will consequently be degraded. It is a fact that in an industrial society, cheap energy is the foundation for everything. Nothing works without energy.
3. The US will largely withdraw from NATO (respective plans are already being discussed publicly) and there are only a few possibilities for its stay. These possibilities will mainly serve to ensure that the US is affected in the event of an emergency and therefore, it will have to intervene fully. This perspective serves as a deterrent. By the way, it is very likely that Great Britain will take over the leadership of NATO, if the Alliance does not dissolve.
4. Instead, the US will focus entirely on China and play its dark games there. The central platform for this is AUKUS (a trilateral security agreement between Australia, the United Kingdom and the United States). In Southeast Asia, there are a lot of national, ethnic and religious tensions that the US can pour oil on and watch everything burn. The Anglo-Saxons love this and do it very well, they have the know-how. In this way, they burn competitors and can buy cheap goods from the gangs that are trying to rule in the ruins.
5. Great Britain has perfectly understood how to drag most European states into war. Even if it is only with a missile, the main thing is that the “others” are labeled as responsible. Since the EU has been involved in this game, it is now participating in it fully and without an exit clause. It is controlled by Great Britain, which is not an EU country itself.
6. The EU is in a particularly bad position. It has a glaring lack of resources and is tempted to go to war against its most important supplier of resources. At the same time, the EU is also in the process of deteriorating its relations with China. Let us not forget that with the consent and help of NATO, the gas pipelines that the EU built at its own expense and for its own great benefit were blown up.
Conclusion
The EU now has a minimal degree of dominance in international politics. The US cannot hold on to the throne of world politics. The isolation of Russia has failed. The US has failed to mobilize any major power against Russia except the Western bloc. Most of the world refuses to fight for the deposed king. The EU’s self-sacrifice will not prevent the great geopolitical restructuring, the US can geopolitically continue to keep its head above water for a while at the expense of the EU. The multipolar world is ante portas.
