Recently, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan informed the United States that not only will it not stop using the existing S-400s, but it will also order second components of the Russian anti-aircraft / missile defense system, indicating Turkey’s intentions. Turkey’s goal is to further deepen and expand its military cooperation with Russia in areas such as the production of aircraft engines, submarines and other weapons systems.
The intentions of Turkey
So far, Turkey has chosen to step on two “boats” at the same time, the US and Russia, trying each time to get the maximum benefit from both of these superpowers. How much longer will this happen? At some point, Turkey will be forced to make a big decision that will judge its future by choosing who to go with, NATO or a unified Asia.
The consequences if Turkey chooses Russia / unified Asia
- Possible dissolution of the “brain dead” NATO;
Turkey was the cornerstone of NATO and the United States during the Cold War to halt the USSR in the Mediterranean and the Middle East. Its withdrawal from NATO will create uncontrollable divisive tendencies in the alliance. In addition, NATO structures will be eroded by the Russians and will lead to serious and irreversible situations.
2. The chances of a military conflict in the Southeastern Mediterranean are increasing
Russia-Turkey alliance will transfer tension to the Southeastern Mediterranean. The military will increase while the countries in the region will have to choose between the West and Turkey-Russia with a high probability of starting a military conflict in the region.
3. Unification of Asia
Turkey is the last but also the most important country missing from the puzzle of unified Asia. Given that Turkey has religious and cultural backgrounds and fraternities with many Central Asian states, its participation in an alliance of Russia and China is what will bind united Asia. This Asia will start from the Ural Mountains, Turkey, Iran, Pakistan, Azerbaijan, Russia, China. At the same time, the United States will lose its strategic presence in Azerbaijan.
4. The implementation of the Silk Road (BRI) for China is achieved
Given the close relations between China-Russia-Turkey, the Silk Road will be implemented quickly and will start from Shanghai and reach Istanbul. China will come to the borders of Europe offering its economic and geopolitical lures to Europe.
5. Europe in danger
With China on Europe’s borders, Russia as well as Turkey will be able to demand and blackmail the European Union much more effectively. The dilemmas for the European Union will increase, forcing it to speed up decisions and choices, which are three:
- Develop its strategic autonomy to face its enemies in the east.
- Withdrawal of the EU and tying to the US chariot to ensure its security.
- Choice of neutrality (extremely dangerous policy) between USA and Asia.
6. Turkey will become a nuclear power
Russia-Turkey strategic cooperation will also include energy cooperation. In addition to natural gas, it includes the construction of three nuclear reactors for energy production. But Iran is doing the same to produce nuclear weapons.
