The Eastern Mediterranean Sea and the Geopolitical Developments-Part (III)

The possible annexation of Turkey to the geopolitical and economic sphere of the BRICS will create multiple developments both in the eastern Mediterranean sea and in the Eurasian geopolitical chessboard and more generally globally.

In the first two parts (Part-I) and (Part-II) of this analysis we presented two major and highly dangerous crises that occurred in the summer of 2018 between the US-Turkey and Russia-Greece respectively, as well as the reasons for these two crises.

As a result of these two crises is the possible annexation of Turkey, a NATO member, into the geopolitical sphere of BRICS (Brazil-Russia-India-China-South Africa) and/or Turkey’s full political and economic independence from the West.

In the current third part of this analysis (Part-III) with theme «The Eastern Mediterranean Sea and The Geopolitical Developments» we will try to present these future geopolitical developments, given the possible annexation of Turkey by the BRICS, that we will most likely see implemented in the future, changing the geopolitical world to date.

by Thanos S. Chonthrogiannis-https://www.liberalglobe.com

Specifically:

The annexation of Turkey in the geopolitical space of Russia, Iran and China and in general in the BRICS creates for:

Turkey

• Separation from the NATO and the West,

• Full control of the Bosporus straits (Marmara Sea) from Russia through Turkey and penetration of the Russian influence in the Mediterranean Sea,

• Collapse of US alliance with Israel and Turkey which directed mainly against Iran and for the control of the Middle East,

• The creation of a special relation between Turkey and Iran with aim to create cohesive influence zones for the choking of the Kurdish rebels,

• Turkey will annex the Pakistan that influences Afghanistan,

• Enhanced cooperation of Turkey with Russia in all sectors i.e. at political, energy, military and economic level,

• Geopolitical cooperation between Turkey and Syria under the umbrella of Russia and not of the USA creating a security gap in the Western camp.

The western camp that controls the Mediterranean basin, which security gap includes the 70% of the seacoasts of the Black Sea (seacoasts of Russia and Turkey equally) and a great part of the Eastern Mediterranean (includes the Mediterranean seashores of Turkey and Syria equally).

• Given that Turkey,

a) will have partners other countries such as Iran, Qatar, Pakistan, Azerbaijan, Soudan, Somalia, Indonesia, Malaysia and Albania,

b) participates in G20, together with Russia and China,

c) has military bases in many Islamic countries to protect them against other countries i.e. Qatar that fears the UAE and Saudi Arabia etc.

all these countries will accept and recognize the role of the prostate of all Muslims to Turkey with parallel transfer (political transfer) of centers of powers of Islam from the other Muslim countries to Turkey.

Which these power centers of Islam are now scattered in other Islamic countries.

At the same time, Turkey will try in the future to attract other geographic areas where living compact Muslim populations like Iraq, Palestine, Libya and Egypt in a fair or unfair manner.

• Turkey, in the best of situations, and if it overcomes its financial crisis which includes

1) an economic crisis that involves a depreciation of the value of the Turkish currency by 40% compared to the US dollar from the beginning of the year to (31/8/2018),

2) an annual inflation rate of 17,9%,

3) The Turkish general government debt to characterize as “garbage” by International Credit Unions,

4) the need for direct refinancing of the Turkish Public and Private Debt to exceed $200bn on a horizon of one year (commencing 30/09/2018),

5) a high deficit in its trade balance, etc.

then it can become the representative and advocate of all these Muslim countries having partners in this effort all the above mention Muslim countries.

Setting simultaneously the foundations for a future Muslim economic and military union between these countries, corresponding to the EU, USA and NATO equally, with Turkey to possess the main political seat in these unions of Muslim countries.

Russia

• The role of Russia is strengthened, which will be able to control via Turkey the Southeastern Mediterranean from the Black Sea up to the Red Sea and the Indian Ocean, in which Red Sea (Somalia) Turkey has possessed recently a military base.

• Russia achieves to create a safe passage for the natural gas and oil pipelines of both Russia and Azerbaijan started from Asia and through European territory of Turkey and next through the Eastern and Central Balkans to the EU markets.

• Full release and security provision in the southwest borders of Russia, given that the separation of Turkey from NATO will cause the collapse of the most advanced wing of NATO in Asia.

• Russia-through its influence both of BRICS and the coalition of those countries as well as in these Muslim countries like Iran, Syria and Turkey-for first time in its history achieves to increase its borders in relation with the borders that had the Tsarist Russia on the Asia continent (18th century-Peter the Great (Peter Alexeyevich) (1672-1725) & 19th century-Catherine the Great (1729-1796)).

And always with the same manner that USA increases its borders through the members of NATO.

• Russia achieves full control of the Asia continent weakening completely the leading aspirations of USA in the South Asia and in general in Asia.

• Russia achieves full control of Asia’s continent’s trade roads and mineral resources routes.

There is a high probability in the future that Russia will impose tariffs on all goods and services originating from Asian countries such as Japan, S. Korea, as well from western countries like USA, UK, EU, Canada, Australia, New Zealand etc. (possible economic attack against the West).

• Concentration of Russian attempt to penetrate with no obstacles in Balkans.

China

• It is given the opportunity to drastically increase the soft pressure it exerts through its investment programs on the economies of Afghanistan and Pakistan, with aim their annexation in the sphere of Chinese influence, closing the door to the USA in the central part of the South-central Asia.

• The cooperation and the participation of Turkey in the coalition of BRICS-creates in practice the vision of China for the silk road, “one belt-one road” which will include China, Pakistan, Iran and Turkey.

• Practically it is created an unobstructed access of China in all the markets of Asia, releasing simultaneously the any pressure that China is accepted from the tariffs that has imposed on its economy the USA.

• Given the exchange facility and support that Turkey will receive from China – which translates into Turkey’s political dependence-China will be able to acquire in the future military and naval bases at Turkey territory and exit to the Mediterranean Sea.

• This strategy will make China able to defend its commercial and economic interests in the EU, transferring its global geopolitical weight apart from the Pacific Ocean, in the Mediterranean Sea and later in the Atlantic Ocean through the countries of the African continent.

Since other Muslim countries of the African continent have also joined this economic bloc of BRICS.

Iran

• It is given the opportunity via the creation of cohesive influence zones with Turkey to evict the Kurdish populations from its territory and next to promote them in these common-with Turkey-territorial cohesive influence zones, choking parallel the action of Kurdish guerillas.

• In the future, Iran will be able to acquire military and naval bases in the Mediterranean Sea in the territory of Turkey and against the Aegean Sea and across the coasts of the Eastern Mediterranean.

• After about two hundred thousand (2500) years an army of the Persian Empire possibly will appear again against both the Hellenic space and Greek state, exercising together with Turkey tremendous pressure both to Greece and Cyprus as well as to Israel (across the whole east Mediterranean).

• Already, the Iran disposes unofficially military bases in the Syrian territory affecting drastically the action and the security of the most advanced “military base” of West in Middle East-the state of Israel.

• Iran acquires products and services which are produced in Turkey with exchange the provision of precious natural gas and oil to Turkey.

• Iran achieves to strengthen parallel the modernization of its infrastructures in its inland.

• Iran can achieve full control of the Persian Gulf with the help of Russia and Qatar.

Thanos S. Chonthrogiannis

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