The two sides, the US and Russia, reportedly limited themselves to making threats rather than examining proposals that would lead to de-escalation and the resumption of substantial diplomatic process. President Joe Biden has warned of harsh sanctions in the event of an invasion, and his Russian counterpart has called for NATO not to expand into Ukraine and not to deploy troops on its territory. These come from the Kremlin statement regarding the telephone conversation.
What is the view of the West on the Ukrainian?
Will Ukraine be an advanced outpost of the West in the context of the new Cold War, or the country that will intervene between the two camps, in order to avoid direct contact between the two sides? Let us not, of course, harbor illusions about the EU’s ability to articulate a discourse that differs from that of the US. With all that entails. If the above question is not answered clearly, the rest is meaningless. Even if there is de-escalation for some reason, it will be a regular move that will leave the strategic question unanswered. So, at any moment, the crisis can break out again.
The problem is big because Washington signals are contradictory. It is withdrawing troops from Ukraine, but is sending additional troops to European territory, at a time when Russia has deployed 130,000 troops with all kinds of weapons. Not to mention Moscow’s cyberwarfare capability, which is likely to precede any operation. Perhaps this is the only point of possible western resistance, as it is done from afar.
A force of 3,000 troops of the US 82nd Airborne Division (82nd Airborne Division) will therefore be deployed on European soil. At the same time, 160 members of the US National Guard, belonging to the 53rd Infantry Brigade, who were training Ukrainian forces, are “temporarily moving” out of the country. “Temporarily repositioning,” the Pentagon said in a statement. Does it sound like a US attempt to persuade Russia that it will achieve its goals unimpeded if it launches an invasion?
This could fit into the basic scenario of a new Cold War. And because the Russian Foreign Ministry spokeswoman used the term “Anglo-Saxons” who want war, it is inevitable to link it to the AUKUS agreement in the Asia-Pacific region between the United States, Britain and Australia. Japan is also obviously interested in participating. Will there be a second Cold War involving China?
But because the planetary image remains indivisible, a double Cold War is natural to bring Eurasia’s two leading powers, Russia and China, even closer. But this has always been a curse for the fathers of Anglo-Saxon geopolitical thought. Because such cooperation in the heart (Heartland) of Eurasia, implies sovereignty in the “world-island” (World-island).
Ukraine, in the event of the West launching a new Cold War, will be divided, as areas with solid Russian-speaking populations come under Russian control. The West will argue that Russian aggression is proven and will gradually seek Ukraine’s entry into NATO. It seems that the possibility of a Russian ultimatum is being taken into account at the moment, that in case of such a development, the West will risk a new operation with the aim of further territorial mutilation of Ukraine.
If the above is also true because the US and Russian staffs have a collectively high level of strategic understanding of the situation, one wonders if US centers of power are aiming for such a development to demonize Russia. Either because this is convenient for the so-called “military-industrial complex”, or because it is due to the well-known ideological approach of the Democrats.
The role of the Jewish diaspora in Ukraine
It may be a coincidence that people with key positions in the wider American sector that make national security decisions (Blinken, Nuland, Hokstein) have their origins in the Jewish diaspora in Ukraine!
The Israelis have historical ties to the former Soviet Union because of the Jewish diaspora. After the collapse of the Soviet Union, many of the oligarchs in Russia and Ukraine were members of the Jewish Diaspora: Boris Berezovsky, Vladimir Guzinsky, Alexander Smolensky, Mikhail Khodorkovsky, Mikhail Fryroch names that belonged in whole or in part to Jewish families.
This was an invaluable “asset” for Israeli diplomacy and beyond. The country utilized it to the maximum and on multiple levels. In the case of Ukraine, Volodymyr Zelensky (and his first prime minister) also belonged to the Jewish diaspora. The Ukrainian president, however, had faced strong criticism that he was the straw man of the billionaire, also a Jew, Igor Kolomoisky.
It should be noted that although the US remains a superpower, its relative strength has waned as other powers have been strengthened. The changing security environment in the Middle East and Israel’s rapprochement with Arab countries leaves room for the Jewish state to play an increased role in the global security equation.
