The entire war climate between the West and Russia that began in 2014 in Ukraine culminates in 2025, with the Russian invasion of Ukraine in 2022 as the turning point. Kiev had been slaughtering the ethnic Russian community for many years, with Moscow trying to freeze the conflict, knowing full well that the West had reinforced Ukraine in terms of weapons and had placed a first-class variant on the diplomatic front (Minsk agreements) with the then Chancellor Merkel. With the invasion of Ukraine in 2022, Russia began the consistent development of its military machine and the corresponding production of weapons, ensuring a military advantage over the West in every respect.
After 3 years of war, Russia occupies 25% of Ukraine’s territory and most of the Russian-speaking regions of Luhansk, Donetsk, Zaporizhia and Kherson, with some Western European governments now wanting to compensate for the reduced US presence in Ukraine. So they order weapons systems for Kiev from the US and pay inflated prices, then they want to bring them to Ukraine, and it is obvious that German, British and French specialists will operate these weapons in the field.
On the other hand, the Russian Federation is clearly not going to accept the endangerment of its territory through geopolitical encirclement and, of course, the destruction of its people. Why: In World War II, it lost 27 million people fighting Germany, a trauma that is still unforgettable for the Russian people.
Under the current circumstances, the Russian side, or more precisely the Russian army, will have occupied and secured the Luhansk, Donetsk, Zaporizhia and Kherson regions by the end of this year. Individual Russian units will also be stationed and active in the Chernihiv, Sumy and Kharkiv regions in the north, as well as in Dnipropetrovsk in the center and Odessa in the south, which are currently still administered by Ukrainians. That is, the Ukrainian state, which is already quite fragile, will then be ready for the final collapse, in other words, exactly the event that the West, regardless of the cost, wanted to avoid with NATO interventions since 2014. With the Maidan coup in 2014 they wanted to preserve an existing Ukraine as a platform for further terrorism against Russia and then the full and wide development of Western aggression against the Russian Federation.
But since the West cannot maintain these plans, as it seems, and if it is clear that Russia will not again accept the Western terrorism that Ukraine has brought to its doorstep, a further escalation is imminent in the event that Kiev does not accept unconditional surrender.
With the Russophobic climate that has been growing in the West in recent years, the governments of Germany, France, Britain, and possibly also Poland and the Baltic states, are likely to openly enter the war. Their “undeclared” war has already begun by supplying weapons to the Kiev regime. It does not matter whether and to what extent these governments will station their military personnel directly in Ukraine. It is undeniable that a direct Russian reaction will follow, especially against Germany, which shapes the opinion of its “willing” allies.
However, the whole matter is not irreversible. Any of the governments mentioned can break out of this madness at any time, admit a strategic defeat and demand that Western aggression stop before it is too late. But the political room for maneuver is narrowing, the end of 2025 will mark whether the West’s war against Russia will be inevitable or not.
