{"id":8173,"date":"2022-04-14T19:28:39","date_gmt":"2022-04-14T16:28:39","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/?p=8173"},"modified":"2022-04-14T19:28:45","modified_gmt":"2022-04-14T16:28:45","slug":"eu-hungary-a-political-conflict-that-has-a-future","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/?p=8173","title":{"rendered":"EU-Hungary: A Political Conflict that has a future"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Conservative Prime Minister Orban won a landslide victory in the April 3 parliamentary elections in Hungary, an EU member state.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Most analysts explain the recent election result (wrong in our view &#8211; for the main reasons for the success of the election result in Hungary please read the analysis with the title &#8220;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/?p=8170\" title=\"\">Hungary: Orbanomics gave Election Victory to Victor Orban<\/a>&#8220;) based on Orban&#8217;s suffocating control over the media and his potential. to change the rules of the electoral process in Parliament, having in it a two-thirds majority, which allows changes to the Constitution.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It is a fact that Orban violates certain European rules of the rule of law and thus provokes the reaction of Brussels. Since 2010, when he is in power on the basis of a conservative-patriotic program, he leaves nothing to chance. Rival media lead to advertising cachexia and subsequent takeover by government-affiliated business interests, the influence of foreign capital on the economy is systematically reduced despite extremely significant foreign direct investment, and national champions are created in the private sector with direct government and government relations. prime ministerial environment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In addition, it is attributed to Orban&#8217;s triumphant dominance in the outbreak of war in Ukraine. At first, the impression was created that Orban&#8217;s close relationship with Putin might have cost him his election.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But then he used his dominance in the media &#8211; which is considered to control 80% -90% &#8211; to impose his own narrative about the war on public opinion.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Orb\u03af\u03c3\u03c4\u03b7\u03ba\u03b5n appeared as the guarantor of peace and prosperity of the Hungarians, while presenting the united forces of the opposition ready to throw Hungary into a foreign war with great national dangers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The President of Ukraine, Zelensky, was annoyed by Orban&#8217;s tactics and used the message he sent from Kyiv to the European Parliament to call on Orban to choose who he is with. With Putin and the Russian invaders or with the defending Ukrainians?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Zelenski&#8217;s message did not go well in Hungary, which has a history of failed elections in World War II and World War II that cost it territorial mutilation and the presence of significant Hungarian minorities in neighboring countries. Ukraine also has a Hungarian minority. In Budapest, it is considered that its rights are not always respected by Kyiv and there is a significant flight of Ukrainian Hungarians to Hungary, despite the fact that they are not yet in the war zone.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Orban has used his good relationship with Putin to secure Russian gas at preferential prices, and has signed a $ 12 billion contract to modernize the country&#8217;s nuclear power plants from Russia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>With top diplomacy, it has managed to &#8220;freeze&#8221; electricity bills at a time when they are increasing or even multiplying in other European countries.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Orban&#8217;s stance on the invasion of Ukraine for the first time brought him in opposition to the other &#8220;tough&#8221; of Visegrad&#8217;s team. Poland, the Czech Republic and Slovakia are all in favor of Ukraine and against Putin. &#8220;Hungary is more interested in cheap Russian gas than in the blood of Ukrainians,&#8221; said Czech Defense Minister Zana Chernotsova. For his part, the powerful Polish man Kaczynski hastened to state that despite his opposition to Orban&#8217;s positions on Putin and Ukraine, their very good cooperation will continue. Orban and Kaczynski overlap in their confrontation with Brussels over issues of rule of law violations by their governments.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Hungary follows EU moves for financial sanctions against Russia. However, it belongs to countries such as Germany and Greece, which do not accept the extension of sanctions on imports of Russian oil and gas. Orban did not send military equipment to Ukraine, nor did he accept the deployment of US-NATO troops in his country, such as Poland and Bulgaria.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Orban&#8217;s turn on the issue of refugee flows is remarkable. Hungary welcomes hundreds of thousands of refugees from Ukraine, with 90% of them seeking refuge in other European countries, especially Germany.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/image-37.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-8176\"\/><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>A political dispute with the future<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Orban celebrated his election victory by throwing down his gauntlet in Brussels. As he characteristically said: &#8220;We have a victory so big that you can see it from the moon and they will definitely see it from Brussels&#8221;.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He went on to say, &#8220;Everybody can see tonight, in Budapest, the victory of Christian Democratic politics, conservative, patriotic politics and civil society. &#8220;Our message to Europe is: &#8216;This is not the past, this is the future, this is the European future we will share.&#8217;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Securing his fourth consecutive four-year term, Orban has emerged as the longest-serving European political leader since Merkel retired. He has been in power for 16 years, the last 12 consecutive years and has been going for twenty years, while he is relatively young for a political leader, 58 years old.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The President of the European Commission, Von der Leyen, did not leave the challenge unanswered. Speaking at the plenary session of the European Parliament, he announced that the European Commission would initiate proceedings against Hungary on issues related to the rule of law and government corruption. The answer of the Hungarian government is that it does not comment on political positions, what the European Commission has to say should be said in official texts that will be studied by government officials.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Von der Layen&#8217;s dynamic intervention coincides with verbal and political openings in the direction of Warsaw. The European Commission&#8217;s aim is to reward Poland for its dynamic stance against Putin and the reception of millions of Ukrainian refugees in its territories through a compromise solution on government intervention in the Judiciary, which will unblock Poland&#8217;s funding from the European Union. Recovery Fund. Instead, the message to Budapest is that it has a long way to go before it can be funded from the European Recovery Fund.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Through the different approaches of Hungary and Poland to the issue of Ukraine, Brussels sees an opportunity to break the strong Orban-Kaczynski duo by recognizing Poland&#8217;s strategic upgrade in the European Union and more generally in the new international political environment created by the Russian invasion of Russia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This is a complex international political exercise that has no guarantee of success. Kaczynski and Orban know that they need each other to block possible European initiatives against them. Orban is extremely flexible and strengthened against Brussels after his triumphant re-election. Kaczynski expresses the patriotism to nationalism of the Poles in a way that goes several times beyond the limits. It is hoped that the temporary veto put forward by the Minister of Finance of Poland, Magdalena Refskowska, in the approval of the European Directive that applies the minimum tax of 15% to multinational companies, is typical.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>137 countries have agreed on it and it is estimated that it can provide additional tax revenues of $150 billion a year. Poland is negotiating its approval hard, sending the message that it will use all the possibilities offered by its strategic upgrade due to its important role in the Ukraine crisis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The only thing that is certain is that Poland&#8217;s conservative government has been strengthened by recent developments, such as Orban&#8217;s power, but in a completely different way in terms of relations with Putin and Russia.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Conservative Prime Minister Orban won a landslide victory in the April 3 parliamentary elections in Hungary, an EU member state. Most analysts explain the&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[818,390],"tags":[25,3439,1191,3438],"class_list":["post-8173","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-europe","category-politics","tag-eu","tag-eu-hungary","tag-hungary","tag-victor-orban"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8173","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=8173"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8173\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8177,"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8173\/revisions\/8177"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=8173"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=8173"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=8173"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}