![\"\"](\"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/200UK_location_in_the_EU_2016.svg_-2.png\")
Photo by: Furfur,
(https:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by-sa\/4.0\/)
Source: https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/uk_rebate<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n
The today\ngeopolitical framework<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n These two great powers are\ninvolved in a covert, if not obvious, collision (English-Russian crash-the\nimperial competition of 19o<\/sup> century) with background the European\ncontinent (EU) and their new attempt to not allow EU to acquire a supranational\ncommand center in which the member-countries of EU will have granted national\nsovereign powers and rights (EU as Federation), so that EU to can become a new globally\npolitical-economic and military superpower. <\/p>\n\n\n\n by Thanos S.\nChonthrogiannis-https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n The today Russia, supports and wants the existence of EU as the creation of a union countries-nations but without these countries to give up part of their national sovereignty to a supranational federal type of administration and planning body, and always without the presence and the cover of NATO (North Atlantic Treaty Organization). <\/p>\n\n\n\n On the other hand, the UK always wanted the European continent to be the principal market for the sale of its products and services but without to allow the rise of any European great power. <\/p>\n\n\n\n During the 18th<\/sup>, 19th <\/sup>and in the middle of 20th<\/sup> centuries correspondingly, there was the English-Russian conflict and whenever conditions required it became an alliance between them for the non-emergence of the then European continental powers like France of the Bourbons and Emperor Napoleon Bonaparte equally, Germany\u2019s Emperor Wilhelm and the Germany of Nazi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The fact that the UK today,\ndid not want to see Russia in its seashores of the North Sea, in first stage\nwill force the UK to come in a much closer alliance as much with USA (United\nStates of America) as with the EU for security, intelligence and defense issues\ncorrespondingly. This will make stronger the security both of UK and EU. <\/p>\n\n\n\n However, the fact that EU\nin its total would not proceed to the development of specific security and\ndefense systems against any third party and continue to be based solely on its\nalliance with the United Kingdom and the US (United States), would lead the\nEuropean Union to become a huge market as it was in the 19th<\/sup> and 20th<\/sup>\ncenturies equally and never being able to obtain the triptych of political-economic-military\npower for the survival of its existence and its effectiveness. <\/p>\n\n\n\n Since EU has chosen the way of its survival and effectiveness (this is dictated by logic) through the acquisition of the triple of the three values (namely the political-economic-military power) which is characterized the state power within the Western world and not only, the EU will be forced to build both security and defense forces at pan European level (initially at the level of Eurozone only and then integrating at this framework each new member from the EU family). <\/p>\n\n\n\n The global <\/strong>geopolitical configurations and the possible alliances<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n On the other hand, the EU’s energy dependence on Russia would bring EU closer to Russia (even if the Ukraine issue was unresolved initially) due to the trade war with USA. <\/p>\n\n\n\n Given that the trade war will continue between USA and EU, the approach of EU with the Russia and China will become more quickly and much more apparent. <\/p>\n\n\n\n The any sanctions that US and EU\nhave imposed to Russia, due to the Ukraine issue-territory, from the side of EU\nwill greatly reduce in implementation time and until their phasing out. <\/p>\n\n\n\n Since and China involve\nin a trade war with US, then the approach of China and Russia with the EU for\nthe control of the world trade will become more apparent than\never by joining between them a trade alliance. <\/p>\n\n\n\n An immediate result of these\nalliances will appear in the votes of UN (United Nations), in the decisions\nboth the Security Council of UN and the WTO (World Trade Organization) but also\nas to the control of the energy roads and seaways in the East Mediterranean,\nthe North Europe and the Middle East correspondingly.<\/p>\n\n\n\n If the trade wars announced from\nthe US, through the imposition of tariffs on imports of steel and aluminum on\nthe US market, continue with the simultaneous abolition or withdrawal of the US\nby international trade institutions like NAFTA (North American Free Trade Agreement), GATT (General\nAgreement on Tariffs and Trade), TTIP (Transatlantic Trade and Investment\nPartnership), TTP (Trans-Pacific Partnership) and JEFTA (Japan-EU Free Trade\nAgreement) together with the existence of trade wars to take place from USA with\nthe aim of continuously trying to maintain a “weak” US dollar to\nincrease US exports to other countries, then a further breach will be created in\nthe relations between the countries that make up the so-called West. <\/p>\n\n\n\n Necessarily, the other major global\neconomic-political players\/countries will try to achieve a very close\nunderstanding for the issues of their concern, by further isolating the USA in\nthe global economic-trade chessboard.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The Japan, disappointed\nand dissatisfied with the trade war with the US and not only, will start to\nbuild defense forces at a fast pace, to reduce its detoxification from the US\nand to be more self-reliant against China and North Korea in the military field.\n<\/p>\n\n\n\n This strategic choice will help Japan to the greatest extent in the arrangement of its possible conflicts with other neighboring countries in terms of exploiting a larger share in Pacific Ocean. <\/p>\n\n\n\n On the other side, the division in the Western world and between the European allies of US will become more apparent. <\/p>\n\n\n\n The\n<\/strong>growth<\/strong> of the economy based on liberal society is at\nrisk<\/strong><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n At the same time, the\nLiberal Democracy will start to be in the “quote” as countries like Russia and\nChina, which although are capitalistic and receive their benefits from the\nliberalization of world trade (mainly China) while they are not liberal as\nsocieties and as we mean the liberal societies of the West, their economic\nsuccess as an economic-capitalistic model that promotes\nstability and growth through in an authoritarian and not liberal way, will gain\ncontinuously ground against the liberal governance model of West. <\/p>\n\n\n\n In other words, the emergence of\na new form of authoritarian capitalism like China, which as a model of economy\nand development will bring to the world the stability and well-being but with a\ngovernance that will restrict the freedoms of citizen and the individual as\na coherent member of a society, with an economy that is centrally planned by\nthe state apparatus and not by the principles of the free market, will\nconstantly undermine the political system of governance of liberal democracy\nwhich West is in charge. <\/p>\n\n\n\n In such a case, several countries\naround the world will try to adopt the economic-growth-social model of\n\u201cauthoritarian capitalism\u201d while the liberal democracies and societies of the\nWest will be lured by this system. <\/p>\n\n\n\n The lure in this case is that the\ndividing political lines among the political parties in the liberal democracies\nof the West will begin to disappear, implementing the political parties the\nsame \u201cauthoritarian capitalistic model\u201d, even if the political parties and\npolitical leaders which are alternated in the executive power will be different\neach time. <\/p>\n\n\n\n In this case, the free market\nprinciples will be abolished by all the countries and the world will become\nmuch more dangerous for the free movement of capital at world level. <\/p>\n\n\n\n Simultaneously, the freedoms and\nrights of the citizens will be constantly restricted, and they kept away from\nthe vision of a planet that will prevail the liberal polity as system of\ngovernance, prosperity and development of people and nations, while the\ndisappearance of a prosper middle income class, in each liberal democratic country\nwill be the rule and not the exception. <\/p>\n\n\n\n Unfortunately, the trigger\nfor implementing such a desperate scenario begins with the declaration of trade\nwars between the countries-trade wars which are always accompanied by monetary\nwars-while these scenarios can lead either to great recessions worldwide and in conventional or\nnon-wars. <\/p>\n\n\n\n The\n<\/strong>general <\/strong>strategy of strengthening the model of liberal\nsociety<\/strong><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n Given the division of the West\nand the search for new trade alliances among powerful countries, the US will\nbe retreated due to a growing protectionism of their domestic market, while at\nthe same time testing the strengths and the relations of USA-as state, with the\nUS capital which are moving globally searching investment opportunities. <\/p>\n\n\n\n And given that the US capital\ncannot isolate only in the domestic market of USA or in the best of occasions\nonly in the American continent. <\/p>\n\n\n\n The fact that the US companies will be silently excluded\nfrom any effort to undertake work\/project or to further promote their products\nand services in the markets of countries that will accept the US trade war, will\nintensify the tensions between US companies and the US state\/government equally.\n<\/p>\n\n\n\n In this case, the emergence of a\nnew global ruler or rulers (which will appear simultaneously the picture of superpower\nin the fields of economy-political-military) will not be long before it becomes\nreality.<\/p>\n\n\n\n This scenario, of course, in order not to take place, some steps will have to be taken:<\/p>\n\n\n\n 1.<\/strong> Withdrawal of all tariffs imposed on products and services from all countries and wherever these countries have imposed these artificial barriers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n 2.<\/strong> More strengthen of the international institutions which are guaranteed the free movement of capital and they ensure the global liberalization of trade (institutions like NAFTA, GATT, TTIP, TTP, JEFTA etc.).<\/p>\n\n\n\n 3.<\/strong> Cancellation on both sides of Brexit, as much from the UK as from the EU, and the UK to become again full member of EU and mainly of Eurozone, taking on a nodal and leading role along with other countries-members of EU as it concerns security and defense issues of EU. It\u2019s more that unite UK and EU of what separates them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n 4.<\/strong> The creation of a new political-economic-military Federation which will have one and only new common currency, and this federation will be based on one Constitution like the Constitution of USA or the one of Switzerland or the Constitution of German Federation after the end of B World War. <\/p>\n\n\n\n In this federation with the new common currency will participate\ninitially as full members the countries of USA, Canada, Australia and New\nZealand equally. <\/p>\n\n\n\n I refer to these four countries because both their social base and their\nsocial background are based on Anglo-Saxons and given that mainly only in the\nAnglo-Saxon countries operate perfectly both the monetary and economic rules\nand the constitution of the Liberal Democracy function as a means of\ngovernance. <\/p>\n\n\n\n Later, in this federation\/union of states will can enter as affiliated\nor full members the Japan, the North Korea and other countries.<\/p>\n\n\n\n A such federal state\/union will have a new powerful global gravity in\nthe political-economic-military field and together with the EU will strengthen\nfurther the relations among the countries of West. <\/p>\n\n\n\n On the other hand, it is the only way for the USA-by entering in such a\nnew monetary union-to significantly correct the deficit\nin their trade balance by dramatically reducing the size of their giant\nborrowing to finance it. <\/p>\n\n\n\n Sooner or later, the US should be led to adopt such a policy-strategy to\nreduce the exposure of their giant debts to third countries and to enable them\nto give new momentum both to their own economy and to the global economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n As much the US as the other countries which will participate in this new super national economic-political-military umbrella with a new common currency will achieve to give all their citizens greater security and prosperity.<\/p>\n\n\n\n 5.<\/strong> Greater federal type of deepening in areas such as economy-political-military among Eurozone member-countries initially. Before doing so, some other economic and political steps will have to be taken in the member countries of Eurozone.<\/p>\n\n\n\n So that the Eurozone can move to a federal union with a common fiscal,\ntax and economic policy across its territory while ensuring the well-being of\nits citizens (more details will be given in forthcoming analyzes). <\/p>\n\n\n\n I refer to the member-countries of Eurozone and not to the total of the\nEU member-countries because the Eurozone-as the hard core of EU-will have to\nmove initially in this type of federal (economic-political-military) deepening.\n<\/p>\n\n\n\n With this way as much, the Eurozone as the total of both EU and Eurozone member-countries cannot be divided between them and\/or “blackmailed” by the actions of third countries. These economic and political policy steps will be explained in detail in other study-articles.<\/p>\n\n\n\n 6.<\/strong> Quick improve in the relations between West and Russia. Sure, there are several problems of trust in relationships between them, such as the Ukraine issue, the civil war and the fight against IS in Syria, as well as NATO and Russia\u2019s competition in the Balkans. <\/p>\n\n\n\n As also another type unacceptable actions that took place in the territory\nof UK (Scripal case-The UK is right). It is unacceptable to be in danger the\nlives of citizens in the time of peace on the territory of a country by actions\nof third parties. <\/p>\n\n\n\n How all these situations can be normalized and improved I will refer to\nanother articles.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Thanos\nChonthrogiannis<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n It is forbidden by the law of intellectual property in any way unlawful\nuse\/appropriation of the present article, with severe civil and criminal\nsanctions for the offender.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" After the decision of the referendum in the UK (23\/06\/2016) as to the non-stay of UK (United Kingdom) in the EU (European Union) and…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":497,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[825,3],"tags":[404,23,403,161,371,25,190,56,399,531,252,532,400,124,402,394,58,46,530,534,533,282,398,216,396,215,397],"class_list":["post-393","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-europe-geopolitical","category-geopolitical","tag-australia","tag-brexit","tag-canada","tag-china","tag-common-fiscal-policy","tag-eu","tag-eurozone","tag-gatt","tag-global-economic-chessboard","tag-global-geopolitical-chessboard","tag-japan","tag-liberal-capitalistic-model","tag-liberal-society","tag-nato","tag-prosperity","tag-referendum","tag-russia","tag-tariffs","tag-the-brexit-and-its-geopolitical-consequences","tag-the-general-strategy-of-strengthening-the-model-of-liberal-society","tag-the-growth-of-the-economy-based-on-liberal-society-is-at-risk","tag-trade-war","tag-ttp","tag-uk","tag-un","tag-us","tag-wto"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/393","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=393"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/393\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1381,"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/393\/revisions\/1381"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/497"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=393"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=393"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=393"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}