{"id":29877,"date":"2026-07-30T20:47:10","date_gmt":"2026-07-30T17:47:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/?p=29877"},"modified":"2026-07-30T20:47:10","modified_gmt":"2026-07-30T17:47:10","slug":"trump-in-despair-and-deadlock-usa-uses-iraq-as-a-mediator-to-propose-a-10-day-ceasefire","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/?p=29877","title":{"rendered":"Trump in despair and deadlock: USA uses Iraq as a mediator to propose a 10-day ceasefire"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The US is anxious, they see the operational impasse militarily and want a 10-day ceasefire. The Americans are desperate to have Iraq and the Iraqi Prime Minister as a mediator go to Iran and propose a 10-day ceasefire.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The most important provisions of the plan for a 10-day ceasefire are the end of US attacks on Iran, the lifting of the US naval blockade and the opening of the Strait of Hormuz by Iran.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The implementation period of the ceasefire is also 10 days and both sides if they accept the ceasefire will try to prepare for future talks and a broader agreement during these 10 days.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">While the 60-day agreement or Memorandum of Understanding has already collapsed and new US attacks have begun in the south (the Hormuz War), now they are talking about a temporary, short-term and extremely limited agreement to end the war.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>But what is this agreement?<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>What are its provisions?<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>How likely is it to succeed?<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>The provisions of the 10-day agreement<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The most important provisions of the 10-day agreement are the complete cessation of US attacks on Iran and the lifting of the naval blockade by Washington and the opening of the Strait of Hormuz by Iran.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Unlike the 60-day agreement, the 10-day agreement does not revolve around Pakistan and Qatar, but Iraq is the main factor in its implementation. After traveling to the United States and meeting with Trump, the Iraqi prime minister traveled to Iran and met with Iranian officials.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Many believe that these trips were made to convey a message from Tehran to Washington or from Washington to Tehran and convey the details and generalities of the 10-day draft agreement.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Does Iran agree with this plan?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Iran has strongly opposed the proposal for a 10-day deal. However, Iranian sources have said that this narrative does not correspond to the reality of the consultation process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>What are the chances of a 10-day deal being reached?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">If we are to consider the issue of a 10-day deal logically, we must say that the chances of such a deal being implemented are not great.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">At the moment, the peak of pessimism and mistrust prevails in US-Iran relations. Both sides accuse each other of breaking the promise and emphasize that the other side violated the 60-day agreement first.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The two sides are also at the peak of conflict. The United States has been targeting the southern part of the country for 13 days with its numerous attacks, and Iran has responded to these attacks daily and targeted American bases in countries in the region with its attacks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>They clearly disagree on Hormuz<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">On the other hand, perhaps the most important point of the 10-day ceasefire proposal is the issue of the Strait of Hormuz, and this is the issue that destroyed the 60-day agreement.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The two sides disagree on how to open the Strait of Hormuz. Iran insists that the order governing the straits and the safe passage of ships should be determined by Iran.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This is while the United States has not accepted such a condition and insists that Western ships and tankers can transit the southern route (the route belonging to Oman) and that tankers and ships do not need to obtain permission from Iran to transit this route.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The lack of understanding between Iran and the United States on this issue has destroyed the 60-day agreement and, if this issue is not well resolved and discussed and one of the parties does not back down from its position, the 10-day ceasefire proposal may also be stillborn and doomed to failure.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"568\" src=\"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/image-94-1024x568.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-29879\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/image-94-1024x568.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/image-94-300x166.png 300w, https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/image-94-768x426.png 768w, https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/image-94.png 1259w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Israeli Military Intelligence: Iran will not back down, US will be exhausted faster, huge military resources and losses are required<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Iran will not back down, US will be exhausted faster, stressed Citronovich, former head of the Iran office at the Israeli military intelligence service: It is unlikely that Iran will surrender simply because of increased military pressure.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">If the campaign continues, it may strengthen Tehran\u2019s belief that it can win simply by enduring and exhausting Washington.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">After nearly six months of conflict with Iran in various forms, the Trump administration still seems to underestimate the nature of the regime it is facing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The main question is what Washington expects to gain. Does he believe that Iran will abandon its missile program, give up its right to enrich uranium, or back down from what it sees as its strategic position in the Strait of Hormuz?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">There is little evidence to suggest that Iran is willing to make concessions on issues it sees as fundamental to the Islamic Revolution.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Instead, Iran seems convinced that, over time, Washington\u2019s political will will be the first to be undermined.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>The Americans will be disappointed<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">If this assumption is the basis of current strategy, disappointment is almost inevitable. Iran is not going to beg for a deal or surrender its key strategic assets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Instead, the likely consequences are continued upward pressure on global oil prices and growing frustration in Washington as expectations clash with reality.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Revenge is not a strategy, and a bombing campaign without a clear political objective is unlikely to bring the desired result.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">If the goal is to force Iran back to the negotiating table in a much weaker position, that goal looks increasingly unrealistic. Policymakers must be realistic about the costs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A strategy that focuses on forcing Iran to surrender through pressure risks imposing significant economic and strategic costs on the United States and its allies, without achieving the desired political goals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dealing with Iran requires time, sustained political commitment, a willingness to endure losses, heavy economic costs, and vast military resources.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Unless the U.S. government is willing to accept such costs, continuing the current campaign\u2014even if it yields tactical successes\u2014is unlikely to bring Iran to a strategic turning point.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Conversely, if the campaign continues, without the resources or political will to achieve a decisive outcome, it may reinforce Iran\u2019s belief that it can win simply by enduring and wearing down the Americans.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The US is anxious, they see the operational impasse militarily and want a 10-day ceasefire. The Americans are desperate to have Iraq and the&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":29878,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3,834,826],"tags":[8277,7941,160,1173,753,4633,6798,70,1976],"class_list":["post-29877","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-geopolitical","category-middle-east-geopolitical","category-usa-geopolitical","tag-10-day-ceasefire","tag-americans","tag-iran","tag-iraq","tag-persian-gulf","tag-strait-of-hormuz","tag-trump","tag-usa","tag-war"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29877","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=29877"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29877\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":29880,"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29877\/revisions\/29880"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/29878"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=29877"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=29877"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=29877"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}