Ukraine has needed military continuity and consistency for the past 6 months. A year ago, when we were talking about long-range strikes, we were talking about 300, maybe 400 kilometers. And that was a great achievement.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Today they have systems that fly 1,200 kilometers with a payload of 15 kilograms. And we are not talking about one or two. We are talking about production. Serial production. They have decentralized networks, they have mobile generators, they have repair units that work 24\/7. Every month that passes, we see that the damage is getting smaller.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Its resilience is growing. And Russian frustration is shooting up. On the other hand, there is a problem that is not emphasized. They have accumulated so many stocks of ammunition for drones that they are starting to have an attraction for other things. At the same time, the majority of Ukraine’s financial and capital resources are being directed unilaterally to drones, leaving the rest of the weapons on the front in short supply.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
The Ukrainian dilemma<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n The artillery in Donbass, where the real battle, the real war, is taking place, is not enough. There they have orders to economize, to shoot only when absolutely necessary”. This is the Ukrainian dilemma. They can hit Moscow. But in Avdiivka, the Ukrainian soldiers need ammunition and they don’t have it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Obviously it’s a matter of priorities. But in reality no general wants to hear that they are being left without support because the money is going to drones. And one last thing that the media doesn’t mention.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Ukraine has people, real people, former pilots, engineers, programmers who work 18 hours a day to build systems that fly 1,500 kilometers. With AI-guided terminal phase. Which means that even if the GPS is lost, the drone recognizes the target on its own, does the final part on its own.<\/p>\n\n\n\n They don’t have this in production yet. But they have it in testing. And in three months, it will be in production. That will mean they won’t have to send 50 drones anymore to get 10 through Russia’s air defenses. They’ll send 5 drones, and they’ll get through all 5.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Because the AI \u200b\u200bwill go through the gaps in the Russian air defenses, it will change course if it sees radar, it will find the target on its own. This changes everything. And it will change it in three months. Well, yes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The Realism of the War in Ukraine<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n We can say that Ukraine seems to be gaining the upper hand in the war. Nice phrase. But the truth is more complicated. They have the ability to strike anywhere in Russia. But they don’t have the ability to win on the battlefield yet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n