{"id":26370,"date":"2025-10-09T19:53:02","date_gmt":"2025-10-09T16:53:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/?p=26370"},"modified":"2025-10-09T19:53:02","modified_gmt":"2025-10-09T16:53:02","slug":"china-taiwan-invasion-scenarios-and-the-russian-finger","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/?p=26370","title":{"rendered":"China, Taiwan invasion scenarios and the Russian &#8220;finger&#8221;"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cWe have our own capabilities, including space capabilities, to fulfill all the missions required by the special military operation,\u201d Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said the other day about the war in Ukraine, when asked about Kiev\u2019s new allegations that China is providing information, via its satellites, to Russia about military strikes on Ukrainian territory.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This was preceded by a statement by Oleg Alexandrov, an official at the Ukrainian Foreign Intelligence Service, to the state news agency Ukrinform that Kiev has evidence that Beijing is providing Moscow with satellite data about missile strikes in Ukraine, especially on facilities of \u201cforeign investors.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">With the full-scale Russian invasion continuing for the 43rd month, the war in Ukraine &#8211; bloody, prolonged and now constantly deteriorating &#8211; is taking on increasingly dangerous dimensions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In the background are not only the escalating hybrid attacks and the increasing violations of the airspace of NATO and EU countries, which are publicly or tacitly attributed to Russia and make the risk of the conflict spreading more likely.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">With the Ukrainian territories as the epicenter, the cohesion of alliances, their reactions and, apparently, the war plans of other states are being tested &#8211; in addition to new weapons systems.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A strategic ally of Moscow, Beijing is carefully recording Russian military successes and failures on the Ukrainian front, as well as the movements of the West and NATO, while drawing up its own plans for a possible invasion of Taiwan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">And, as it turns out, with the Kremlin&#8217;s &#8220;backing.&#8221; In fact, Moscow is reportedly already helping China prepare to take over Taiwan.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"360\" height=\"228\" src=\"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/image-44.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-26372\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/image-44.png 360w, https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/image-44-300x190.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 360px) 100vw, 360px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cReady to invade Taiwan by 2027\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">With Chinese President Xi Jinping having ordered the armed forces to be \u201cready to militarily occupy Taiwan by 2027,\u201d Russia has agreed to provide Beijing with \u201cweapons and equipment,\u201d personnel training and the transfer of expertise \u201cfor airborne special forces infiltration,\u201d according to a report by the London-based Royal United Services Institute (RUSI).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cThe world\u2019s oldest defense and security think tank,\u201d it says, citing its revelations as an analysis and \u201cverification of details\u201d in documents of \u201ccontracts and accompanying material,\u201d some 800 pages, stolen by the \u201cBlack Moon\u201d hacking group, and other unknown sources.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">For China, RUSI explains, \u201ca large-scale amphibious operation\u201d to seize Taiwan \u201cis extremely dangerous\u201d due to the morphology of the island\u2019s coastline, while in the scenario of \u201cseizing airfields for the arrival of troops by air, the Russian invasion of Ukraine has shown that runways can be quickly destroyed.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Therefore, Beijing is preparing alternatives.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cAlthough the areas in which Russia surpasses China in military capabilities are decreasing, it has practical experience and a capability for air operations that China does not have,\u201d the report notes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">As part of the \u201cgrowing military-industrial cooperation\u201d, it is reported, Moscow has agreed to a \u201cfull training cycle\u201d of units of the People\u2019s Liberation Army (PLA) from 2023, initially within Russian territory, and the sale to China of \u201ca full set of weapons and equipment for an airborne battalion\u201d, with the dropping of not just paratroopers, but entire armored vehicles, which \u201cwill pave the way for the landing of the forces that will follow\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In this context, it is planned to \u201ctransport special \u201cDalnolyot\u201d parachute systems, designed to introduce loads of up to 190 kg from an altitude of up to 32,000 feet, achieving a range of between 30-80 km\u201d and providing the possibility of \u201cpenetrating Chinese special forces into the territory of other countries without being detected\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Russia Arming China For Taiwan Invasion? Putin&#039;s Troops To Train Chinese Soldiers?\u00a0Leaked Docs Show\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/BkLAoYmf6LI?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>\u201cOne hand washes the other\u201d<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">According to the documents in question, the agreement provides for the sale by Russia to China of 37 light amphibious assault vehicles, 11 amphibious self-propelled anti-tank guns, 11 airborne armored personnel carriers, as well as command and observation vehicles.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The airborne equipment described in the documents is described as necessary only for \u201cthe invasion phase\u201d and is no longer considered useful in the Russian invasion of Ukraine.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In contrast, Moscow is estimated to receive more than $210 million to fuel its own war machine.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A document dated September 2024 indicates that the stages of analysis of technical specifications, software modifications and equipment construction have been completed on the Russian side.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">According to RUSI, China wants all vehicles to be equipped with Chinese communications systems and be ready to use Chinese ammunition.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">However, there is no evidence of payments from Beijing, nor whether the Chinese side has received any equipment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Analysts estimate that the Kremlin&#8217;s long-term goal is to become, in addition to an energy supplier, also a military equipment supplier to China, thus strengthening the Russian economy and further distracting the US from the war in Ukraine.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Beijing, on the other hand, which already has the &#8220;upper hand&#8221; in the strategic position with Moscow, is interested not only in acquiring know-how in new (for the PLA) warfare tactics, but also in accessing advanced intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance services, crucial for modern warfare.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In the meantime, according to a classified report by the US Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA), which was brought to light by the Australian ABC network, China is \u201crapidly strengthening its merchant fleet, preparing for an invasion of Taiwan\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Already, \u201clarge ocean-going ships have been modified to carry tanks and participate in amphibious operations\u201d, it says, while \u201cmore than 70 large vessels are being built by the end of 2026\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Tough \u201cbra de fer\u201d with the US<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Addressing the Chinese nation to celebrate the 76th anniversary of the founding of the People\u2019s Republic of China, Xi Jinping called for strong resistance to \u201cauthoritarian Taiwan independence activities\u201d and external interference.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">However, alliances in the Asia-Pacific region are being tested not only by Beijing\u2019s tactics, but also by the unstable policies \u2013 tariff and diplomatic \u2013 of US President Donald Trump.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Citing sources, at least two US media outlets, Bloomberg and the Wall Street Journal, report that President Xi is now putting suffocating pressure on the Trump administration to officially declare that he \u201copposes\u201d Taiwan independence, as a condition for concluding a trade agreement between the US and China.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The two leaders are expected to hold a summit on the sidelines of the APEC summit in South Korea, which begins on October 31.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">It will be preceded by the Plenary Session of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China, from October 20-23.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Its meetings are considered crucial for decision-making in the world&#8217;s second-largest economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&#8220;I would recommend&#8221; to President Trump &#8220;to pay close attention to the fact that Xi Jinping is not only conducting increasingly large-scale military exercises in the Taiwan Strait, but also expanding military forces in East China and South China,&#8221; Taiwanese President Lai Ching-te said on a US podcast on Tuesday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In the event of the island&#8217;s annexation, &#8220;China will gain greater power to compete with the United States on the international stage, undermining the rules-based international order,&#8221; he stressed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&#8220;If President Trump convinces Xi Jinping to definitively abandon all aggression against Taiwan, he will undoubtedly be a candidate for the Nobel Peace Prize,&#8221; he added, drawing the ire of Beijing, which accused Lai of &#8220;prostituting himself&#8221; to &#8220;foreign powers&#8221; to gain their favor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201cWe have our own capabilities, including space capabilities, to fulfill all the missions required by the special military operation,\u201d Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":26371,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[836,3],"tags":[161,58,2028,1156,1976],"class_list":["post-26370","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-asia-geopolitical","category-geopolitical","tag-china","tag-russia","tag-taiwan","tag-ukraine","tag-war"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26370","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=26370"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26370\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":26373,"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26370\/revisions\/26373"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/26371"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=26370"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=26370"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=26370"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}