{"id":16293,"date":"2023-11-23T20:53:54","date_gmt":"2023-11-23T18:53:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/?p=16293"},"modified":"2023-11-23T20:53:54","modified_gmt":"2023-11-23T18:53:54","slug":"the-next-day-of-the-israel-gaza-war","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/?p=16293","title":{"rendered":"The Next Day of the Israel-Gaza War"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>With an eye on the next day \u2013 At the end of this war that Israel has been dragged into by Hamas, even if it takes time, even if the price will be great for Israel itself and for the civilian citizens of Gaza, the IDF will have destroyed Hamas&#8217; military capabilities and dismantled its administrative and political structure. Of course, this does not mean that there will cease to be nuclei and &#8220;incubators&#8221; of terrorists in Gaza itself, in the West Bank, in Lebanon and elsewhere. But, as in the case of al-Qaeda and Daesh after their military defeat, although cores were maintained and are maintained to this day, once there is no structured political leadership, money and secure territory, it will be extremely difficult to develop capabilities for serious strikes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Nor will it automatically eliminate the ideology and practices of Hamas, which are adopted, however unpopular, by a large part of the Arabs of Palestine according to recent measurements by the Arab World for Research and Development. A military victory does not automatically bring political victory. Political victory is linked to the creation of conditions for a better political reality for everyone! The imposed military destruction of Hamas must be accompanied by the elimination of the causes and philosophy that cultivated this destructive radicalism.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The new security architecture<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The new security architecture of the region should definitely include the establishment of an independent Palestinian State next to Israel that would include the West Bank, the Gaza Strip and of course a part of East Jerusalem (Hakim Barak&#8217;s proposal in 2000) even if you don&#8217;t like it to a large section of Israelis. This is the so-called solution of two states that will exist side by side with security as foreseen by the Oslo Accords signed by Israel and the Palestine Liberation Organization (PLO) in 1993 and 1995. The first step of this was the formation of the Palestinian Authority (PA), an Administration with limited autonomy in the West Bank (in escalating three areas) and the Gaza Strip.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Both sides are responsible for the deadlock of the Palestinian conflict resolution process. First of all the Palestinian Authority with its constant &#8220;objection&#8221; with the great opportunity being lost in 2000 when the then Israeli Prime Minister Hakim Barak agreed to give the territory of the new state 91% of the West Bank and access to East Jerusalem, with Capital the suburb of Abu Dis as much as Israel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Especially during the years of Netanyahu&#8217;s rule, when supported by the religious parties but also by the parties representing the 700 thousand settlers, he considered that by marginalizing the problem, undermining the Palestinian Authority by indirectly supporting Hamas, which dominated the Gaza Strip from in 2007 and had significant influence in the West Bank and would de facto solve the problem.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The position of Hamas until now<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Hamas, however, was never interested in the two-state solution and always torpedoed any attempt to resolve the Palestinian issue. Its declared purpose was, as mentioned above, the destruction of the State of Israel and the extermination of the Zionists, and for this reason children were taught from the day they were born that it is their sacred duty to destroy Israel and the death of the Jews. At the end of this war which has become existential for Israel and a war against the return of its inability to protect its citizens, Hamas as an entity that constitutes a constant threat to Israel&#8217;s security and undermines the peace process will not exist.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The scenario under consideration<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Israel, apart from what Prime Minister Netanyahu says about assuming the security responsibility of the Gaza Strip, essentially neither wants nor, above all, can become an occupying power again indefinitely. The scenario under consideration aims after a period of stabilization of Israel&#8217;s military victory to take over a temporary-transitional UN Administration with the help of some Arab countries that Israel can trust even if Egypt and Saudi Arabia show reluctance for now and then to pass the blame to the Palestinian Authority as it was until 2007 when it was forcibly expelled from the Gaza Strip after a brief civil conflict.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In order to atrophy the &#8220;incubators&#8221; of Hamas and the generative causes of its extremism, as the former Chief of the Israeli Intelligence and Security Service Shin Bet (Shabak) emphatically pointed out, the Arabs of Palestine must be given a political horizon. A horizon that, approaching it, will materialize the creation of an independent state. The two state solution is the only way to peace and this is being understood more and more in Israel every day. The two peoples should live side by side with safety and dignity.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In order for this process to be revived, however, there is an urgent need for a change of leadership both in the PA and in Israel. And because Israel is a democratic country, a solution will be found, since everyone believes that the next day Netanyahu will not exist, we will focus on the Palestinian side. A leadership must take charge of the destinies of the Arabs of Palestine, which will replace the worn out and corrupt leadership team of President Mahmoud Abbas, or Abu Mazen as he likes to be called by his &#8220;war&#8221; name (nom de guerre). He was elected in 2005 for 4 years and has ruled for\u2026 18!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The issue of the new Palestinian leadership<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>1.<\/strong> The issue is that the new leadership should, on the one hand, be accepted by the largest possible majority of Palestinians and, on the other hand, enjoy the trust of the Israelis, especially in terms of the PA&#8217;s compliance with security responsibilities. Based on the two basic conditions, perhaps the most dominant of the successors of the 87-year-old Mahmoud Abbas is the Ramallah-born 63-year-old Hussein Al Sheikh.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The official in question has been for many years Director of Political Affairs, negotiator with Israel and since 2022 Secretary General of the Palestine Liberation Organization. From 1978 to 1989 Al Sheikh was imprisoned in Israel, where he learned Hebrew very well. In security matters, he cooperated excellently with the Israeli Security Authorities. He is in favor of understanding and against conflict.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>2.<\/strong> The second Palestinian political figure who may be the next President of the PA is 64-year-old Marwan Barghouti, who has been in Israeli prisons for 21 years and is therefore called the &#8220;Palestinian Mandela&#8221;! Leader of both Intifadas, former Chief of Tanzim, Fatah&#8217;s armed wing has been sentenced five times to life for murders in terrorist attacks. He is more popular than al-Sheikh, being incorruptible and not connected to the corrupt Abbas administration. But only if they trust him will the Israelis release him to take over.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>3.<\/strong> The third most likely candidate is the Gaza-born Khan Younis refugee camp-born 61-year-old Mohammed Dahlan, a former PA security chief until he was ousted by Abbas as a threat to his authority. He also spent a large part of the 80s in Israeli prisons where he also learned Hebrew very well. He knows Hamas and Gaza very well, while at the same time the Israelis trust him.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He has been living in exile in the UAE for the last decade, which aspires to have a role in the reconstruction of Gaza. For this reason Dalan as an advisor to the de facto leader of the Emirates Mohammed bin Zayed (MBZ) is estimated to be the future leader of the Palestinians in Gaza and subsequently of all Palestinians. His people claim that in recent years he has been one of the major donors to Gaza and the Palestinians in general.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Now after all this carnage the time has come!<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>October 7th is the darkest day in the history of Israel and the Jews since the Holocaust. In one day, Hamas&#8217; heinous terrorist attacks killed 1,400 people, mostly civilians, when 2,656 were killed in the three-week 1973 war with state actors.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Israel is waging an existential war against the return of weakness. No one disputes that in this war Gaza is being destroyed and there is an extremely high number of civilian casualties. The trauma of the Holocaust and the impossibility of protecting the Jews has made it a philosophy of &#8220;better to be condemned and blamed than to be pitied.&#8221; The citizens of Israel must live in safety and prosperity.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On the other hand the Arabs of Palestine have the right to live in their own independent state without any kind of occupation. The trauma of the &#8220;Nakba&#8221; (catastrophe) cannot be healed by the practices and ideology of the Hamas terrorists. From the time when the Palestinian representative of the PLO in London Said Hamami and the Israeli Journalist and Author Uri Anveri began to discuss in 1974 privately at first and then under the guidance of Arafat and Rabin about a solution and mutual recognition and to reach the Accords of Oslo, 19 years have passed.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>With an eye on the next day \u2013 At the end of this war that Israel has been dragged into by Hamas, even if&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3,834],"tags":[4860,153,4936,2401,1667,1976],"class_list":["post-16293","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-geopolitical","category-middle-east-geopolitical","tag-gaza-strip","tag-israel","tag-israel-gaza-war","tag-palestinians","tag-plo","tag-war"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16293","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=16293"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16293\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":16295,"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16293\/revisions\/16295"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=16293"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=16293"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=16293"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}