Wherever one looks, one cannot find even a small crack of light, a crack of hope. Hate has taken over everywhere. This word, however, although it has defined international relations throughout the centuries, at the level of analysis of international security issues, it simply describes an inherent parameter to be manipulated to achieve geopolitical goals. And this is what leads the planet to great adventures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
In the case of Israel’s conflict with the Palestinians, the facts are set after the end of World War II when the state of Israel was established in 1948. In this conflict, many say that any real solution cannot escape from the establishment of a Palestinian state, after the establishment of a Jewish one. But as long as the extremist-armed wing of the Palestinians continues to set the goal of “replacing” the Jewish state with a Palestinian one and “investing” the billions that have flowed for decades to the Palestinians in the development of military capabilities that lead to bloodshed, there can be no solution. to be found.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
But even if this condition existed, things would not be rosy. The lack of territorial continuity of the two Palestinian enclaves (West Bank and Gaza) and the settlements that have been created in the Palestinian territories \u2013 constantly increasing the political cost of Israel’s retreat \u2013 make the problem increasingly intractable. In order to establish a Palestinian state there must be territorial arrangements.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Given the state of affairs in Israel’s domestic political landscape, finding a solution is constantly referring to “every year and better”. The Palestinians, invoking the post-war demographics and calling the Israeli policy ethnic cleansing, maintain positions which, by today’s standards, are simply non-territorial. With the above data, the problem is simply not resolved, because the two sides seem to confuse what is desirable on both sides, with what is possible. So, what remains is the law of power, especially the military.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Victory in the military field also requires a viable political solution<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n As a consequence of the above that describes the impasse, a critical question arises, at least theoretically: At the level of high strategy formulation, the authorities in the Jewish state must engage, sooner or later, in an intellectual exercise with the object of finding a way out of this impasse ; Because what is currently considered a strategic level, could influence in such a way the big picture that touches the very survival of the state, so that it evolves over time into a tactical one. In other words, their strategic problem becomes infinitely more serious\u2026<\/p>\n\n\n\n The aforementioned affects the geostrategic balances both at the regional and the planetary level. And this further complicates the conflict. The Middle East has always been a region of great geopolitical importance, where the interests of the powerful collided. And just as in the narrow context of Israelis and Palestinians one could identify a variety of interests that are theoretically not served by the resolution of the conflict, the same is true in the big global picture. Conflict is used in a way that serves the interests of everyone involved\u2026<\/p>\n\n\n\n In a transitional historical period where the world’s new security architecture is being shaped, whatever new fronts are opening up, they almost never have only a local reference. Did the Russians, for example, instigate the outbreak of this round of conflict to defuse the Ukrainian front? Identical suspicion to the one related to the coups in Africa. However, the Middle East does not only mobilize nationalist, but also religious reflexes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Democracy as an excuse<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n The rise of Islamic fundamentalism and cultural incompatibility with modern Western societies is a problem that is intensifying and can seriously destabilize, especially Europe. Is this yet another goal served in the context of planetary competition by those involved? In other words, with the aim of imposing costs on Europe for its stance on other issues? And if this is the case, has the European backdoor been opened by approaches, ideological for some, selfish for others, to immigration?<\/p>\n\n\n\n And when these took on an ideological character in the West, were they included in the context of a wider naive Western theoretical debate about the spread of democracy in the world? Everyone in the West may agree that democracy is the best system available. But that is one thing and the desire to enforce it is another. For if this rule were applied, how different would the problem in the Eastern Mediterranean have been if the Muslim Brotherhood had remained at the helm of Egypt?<\/p>\n\n\n\n Also, with democratic processes, power in Western societies could be taken over by Sharia fighters \u2013 given the demographic dynamism that Muslim immigrants present in Europe \u2013 by deciding that they want a change of state. Once upon a time, these were all presented as conspiracy theories. But when, with slow but steady steps, the theoretical expectations of the rightists are disproved, humanity enters a new cycle of dangerous destabilization.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Ideologies and their impasses<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n It must be understood that a local-regional front such as the Middle East affects the global image, while the global image has played a role in igniting it! Both are dynamic processes, not static. If internal political expediencies of some of the protagonists enter into the equation, the environment becomes chaotic and potentially unmanageable\u2026<\/p>\n\n\n\n Now, many are warning of the danger of global conflict. Others see similarities between the current historical situation and the one before the First World War. Then, the expected and partly legitimate vindictive-extermination mood of the victors against the defeated Germany, led to World War II. Should this historical experience, the conclusions of which are more or less taken for granted everywhere, teach us to avoid becoming trapped in behaviors that lead to an escalating spiral with no visible way out?<\/p>\n\n\n\n In today’s conditions and given the proliferation of non-conventional weapons, the stability of the planet is at risk. In fact, when the president of the USA speaks of the creation of a “new order” at the planetary level, he betrays an agenda dangerous for those affected, then the concern is maximized. Defensive reflexes are activated and a tendency to fight back despite the fact that there are serious differences.<\/p>\n\n\n\n If the US’s goal is to maintain the “monarchy,” a unipolar international system, despite a gradual but steady decline in relative US power, doubts are raised as to whether such a goal is realistic. If you follow the Thucydian logic of dealing with opponents before your position deteriorates further, the risk of war is even greater. If we do not get there, will the confrontation of the powerful neutralize each other and thus facilitate the expansionist ambitions of smaller powers that have an Islamic identity as a point of reference?<\/p>\n\n\n\n Absurdity sets the agenda<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n What would a conflict look like in which one camp would include e.g. Turkey, Iran, Pakistan and Arab countries where monarchies will have collapsed and Muslim Brotherhoods will be in power? And let’s not rush to answer that this would never happen because of the Sunni-Shia schism. Much that we experience today was considered unthinkable in the past.<\/p>\n\n\n\n In such a conflict, in a second year, which would receive cultural characteristics, what would be the role of e.g. of Russia and China, countries that today are considered enemies of the West, despite being much closer to Western civilization. Naturally, they should be in the same camp, having settled differences and ambitions in such a way as to avoid all-versus-all conflict scenarios. Because the West, Russia and China do not have as a basic motivation “to cut off the heads of infidels”.<\/p>\n\n\n\n In short, today, the real strategic level is influenced by political elites affected by the arrogance of a supposed omnipotence, without realizing that they are leading the planet to mortal danger. Serving diverse interests, mainly economic, they are involved in planning on paper, based on new theories, which, however, threaten to shake any concept of balance in the air. The notions of multiculturalism, and perhaps even of the economically disastrous “green transition”, look more and more like self-serving \u2013 more than ideological \u2013 approaches in an era of retreating globalization. Is it this obsession with agendas that has produced today’s tragic impasses?<\/p>\n\n\n\n The planetary competition of the powerful is not going to stop. The issue is, however, that it should be included in some context, so that it does not escape into out-of-control situations. Because action brings reaction. The various “designers” have in practice proved sufficiently imaginative in the former, but dangerously incapable of predicting the latter. The question is whether there will be those who will have the courage to challenge existing political correctness and conventional wisdom before it is too late.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Wherever one looks, one cannot find even a small crack of light, a crack of hope. Hate has taken over everywhere. 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