{"id":1470,"date":"2019-11-07T14:17:52","date_gmt":"2019-11-07T12:17:52","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/?p=1470"},"modified":"2019-11-07T14:17:53","modified_gmt":"2019-11-07T12:17:53","slug":"is-it-wrong-the-strategy-of-south-korea-and-usa-equally-against-north-korea","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/?p=1470","title":{"rendered":"Is it wrong the strategy of South Korea and USA equally against North Korea?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Since May until today, North Korea has been involved in testing three short-range ballistic missiles. On 3 October it triggered a mid-range ballistic missile between the Korean Peninsula and the Japanese Sea from an underwater vessel. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">On October 31 North Korea made a successful-always according to North Korea news agency-test of a launch system &#8220;multiple missiles&#8221; with 370 km missiles range. The repetition of all these ballistic missile tests &#8220;targets&#8221; in specific directions with the aim of pressure on neighbouring states.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">by<strong> Thanos S.\nChonthrogiannis<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:12px\"><em>\u00a9<\/em><em>The law of intellectual\nproperty is prohibited in any way unlawful use\/appropriation of this article,\nwith heavy civil and criminal penalties for the infringer.<\/em><strong><em><\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"alignleft is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/North_Korea_South_Korea_Locator.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1471\" width=\"331\" height=\"311\"\/><figcaption><strong>North Korea and South Korea Locator <\/strong><br>Photo by Aridd<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>The goals of North Korean President Kim Jong-un<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">With the launch of ballistic missile testing, North Korea succeeds in this\nway to fuel the concern for new threats targeting the South Korean and Japanese\nside, with the aim of both Japan and South Korea to start pushing the US in\ntheir way to relaunch the negotiations on the demilitarisation of the Korean\nPeninsula, which have been frozen for some time.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In addition, the leader of North Korea wants to indirectly provoke the attention of the U.S. in order to receive &#8220;donations&#8221; from them by the end of the year in exchange for stopping ballistic missile testing by mobilizing again the negotiations (the restart of the negotiations is the necessary item in order to receive &#8220;donations&#8221;).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">At the same time, it saves time using all these frozen negotiations time to\nimprove the technology and increase the number of its existing nuclear arsenal\nand whether negotiations are relaunched will have another strong negotiating\npaper in its hands for exchange.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The latest images that the planet has from North Korean President\nKim-Jong-Un are the large-openings and promises of modernity of his country,\nwhich tried to pass into the world with the dramatic-type handshakes with South\nKorean President&nbsp; Moon&nbsp; Jae-in&nbsp;\nand US President Donald Trump in the demilitarised zone of the Korean\nPeninsula.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In October, Kim&nbsp; Jong&nbsp; Un&nbsp; announced the end of North Korea&#8217;s partnership with South Korea to highlight and exploit a tourist attraction on the Kumgang Mountain that was beginning to be implemented as a symbol of good gesture with the participation of South Korean construction companies and constituted a first-class cooperation between the two sides. In fact, he called for the already constructed buildings to be demolished to date.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>The future of the negotiations on the demilitarisation of the Korean Peninsula<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">On the other hand, the countries-supporters of the North Korean regime,\nChina and Russia, are in conflict with the United States and certainly these\ntwo countries have helped its President and North Korea in general to overcome\nthe three years of hard&nbsp; sanctions&nbsp; imposed by the UN resolutions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">It is obvious that the nine-year-executive period of North Korean leader\nKim&nbsp; Jong&nbsp;\nUn&nbsp; and after the pass of the hard\nperiod of sanctions has established himself in the power of his country and is\nnot in danger of lost power, while again undertaking to play the role of evil\nand unpredictable in the area through the repetition of ballistic missile tests\nsucceeds in order to pull on a constant basis the attention of his \u201cneighbours\u201d\nand their \u201cfriends\u201d. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">If Kim &nbsp;Jung&nbsp; Un&#8217;s power to date has been consolidated by the previous negotiations with the US and South Korea, which have necessarily resulted from the escalating increase in each other&#8217;s verbal threats and military testing, let alone now having experience of meetings why not repeat the same threat plan through ballistic missile tests to achieve even greater benefits and gifts. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/320px-Kim_and_Trump_shaking_hands_at_the_red_carpet_during_the_DPRK\u2013USA_Singapore_Summit.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1472\" width=\"471\" height=\"314\"\/><figcaption><strong>Kim and Trump shaking hands in DPRK-USA Singapore Summit<\/strong><br>Photo by Dan Scavino<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>The results to date of the strategy followed<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The fact that Kim&nbsp; Jong&nbsp; Un seized the opportunity during all this\ntime the negotiations have been frozen, to strengthen, improve and increase his\nnuclear arsenal in both number and technology, this alone is considered as a\nfiasco&nbsp; for US President Trump and his\npolicy in this corner of the world and given that the negotiations on the\ndemilitarisation of the Korean Peninsula began with the aim of reducing the\nnuclear arsenal of North Korea.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Certainly at this time US President Trump has the &#8220;hangover&#8221; of\nhis referral from the Democrats and may not be able to deal with North Korea,\nunless the negotiations have been put on ice on purpose so that next year the\nPresident Trump to make a strong come back to the issue in order to\nsubsequently have, through negotiations and a new agreement, to show\n&#8220;achievements&#8221; in the American electorate before the US elections in\nNovember 2020.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">But in one such case, the negotiating table will be President Trump, who\nwill be pressed, not Kim Jong-Un, because President Trump will want to have in\nhis policy a wide selection of results to be used pre-election. Then President\nTrump will be the one to give the most to Kim Jong-Un taking the US and South\nKorea the least.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Moreover, more China and less Russia will be able to &#8220;use&#8221; Kim\nJong-Un to achieve even more benefits on their own &#8220;open fronts&#8221; with\nthe US by asking Kim Jong-Un to follow a hard negotiating approach and since\nthe President Trump will also, in these cases, seek to achieve practical\nresults with these countries. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">If on the other hand for various reasons the US continues to keep on ice any negotiations with North Korea and the next year that will be time for Presidential elections for them, then the frequency of tension and anxiety that will cause the North Korea&#8217;s regime will be stepped up not only to South Korea and Japan but to the United States. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">These tensions will come not only through the ever-increasing number of ballistic missile tests, but also with cyber-government type attacks before the US elections.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In this case the strategy should be one. If North Korea increases the\nvolume of tension, then South Korea, Japan and US will need to increase from\ntheir side the intensity, the heat and readiness even further without to use\nany verbal threats. The countries which possesses real power does not need the\nuse of threats.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">If North Korea stops tension and prudence occurs, then the United States and its allies will have to gradually make inroads towards the North Korean regime. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/320px-President_Donald_J._Trump_and_President_Moon_Jae-in_of_the_Republic_of_Korea_at_the_United_Nations_General_Assembly_36747066094.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1473\" width=\"458\" height=\"305\"\/><figcaption><strong>Trump and Moon Jae-In at the UN General Assembly<\/strong><br>Photo by The White House from Washington DC<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In other words, If North Korea offers an exchange, the US and South Korea will offer more given that the North Korea regime will implement in practise the agreed economic openings and political reforms so that North Korea to be able to get \u201caids\u201d, and given that North Korea will have stopped first any tensions understanding that with threats and lion roars not only will has something to lose but that it may have completely bad results contrary to its initial expected results. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">When North Korea increases the volume of tension then the US and South Korea will increase it more and vice -versa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In this game theory North Korea will have to understand that its tensions\nand lion roars lead nowhere for it\nexcept to the abyss of isolationism. For this reason both US, South Korea and\nNorth Korea we have to agree on a &#8220;any kind of street reformations&#8221;\nthat both sides (North and South Korea) will reach and gradually implement both\nwith mutual benefit for both sides so that both peoples can unite and live\nharmoniously in the future without tensions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">It should not be missed that even if North Korea is fully opened up to the\nfree movement of goods and people, and given that the regime of Kim Jong Un\nremains in power, North Korea presents high probabilities to follow the\nauthoritarian capitalist model of governance in China and for whatever this\nwill mean for the American and European capital\/companies that will be actively\nestablished there.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">But as time goes by and we are heading for the American elections, the\npressure for results in the event of a resumption of negotiations will be\ntransferred to the American President&#8217;s side, with whatever this will mean for\nthe pluses and minuses that can be achieved from a new deal.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Since May until today, North Korea has been involved in testing three short-range ballistic missiles. On 3 October it triggered a mid-range ballistic missile&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[836,3],"tags":[655,1200,1202,1201,1199,1094,215],"class_list":["post-1470","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-asia-geopolitical","category-geopolitical","tag-donald-trump","tag-kim-jong-un","tag-korea-peninsula","tag-moon-jae-in","tag-north-korea","tag-south-korea","tag-us"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1470","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1470"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1470\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1503,"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1470\/revisions\/1503"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1470"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1470"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1470"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}