{"id":1411,"date":"2019-10-24T14:20:24","date_gmt":"2019-10-24T11:20:24","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/?p=1411"},"modified":"2019-10-24T14:20:26","modified_gmt":"2019-10-24T11:20:26","slug":"pax-russica-in-syria-and-perhaps-in-the-whole-middle-east","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/?p=1411","title":{"rendered":"Pax Russica in Syria and perhaps in the whole Middle East"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The big winner in Syria appears to be Russia and the Russian President\nVladimir Putin. The American promises made with the agreement between Michael\nPence and Erdogan are of little importance given the withdrawal of US soldiers\nfrom Syria, indicating that the U.S. has been self-marginalized in the region\nwithout being able to change the developments.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>by<strong> Thanos S. Chonthrogiannis<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"font-size:12px\"><em>It is prohibited by intellectual property law or in any way illegal use of this article, with heavy civil and criminal penalties for the offender.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"alignleft is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/10\/Erdogan_Putin_meeting_5.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1413\" width=\"333\" height=\"222\"\/><figcaption><strong>President of Turkey Recep Tayip Erdogan and President of Russia Vladimir Putin in Moscow<\/strong><br>Photo by: The Presidential Press and Information Office, https:\/\/el.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/creativecommons\/3.0\/deed\/el<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>US Policy in Syria<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The withdrawal of American soldiers in Syria, although facilitating the US\nPresident&#8217;s narrative in the upcoming presidential election in November 2020\nthat he kept his promise and brought back the children of the American people\nfrom a conflict that is far away and it does not concern them as a nation, but\nhis choice globally affected the U.S. public image as a superpower abandoning\nthe Kurds who until recently were the US allies in the war against IS.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Certainly Turkey is very important as a country and an ally for the US due\nto its strategic position and for this reason the US President has abandoned\nthe Kurds, but in future allies and enemies of the US may not give weight to\nthe word and US diplomats policy when their President can ignore all of this at\nany time.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Of course the majority of the U.S. political system is in favour of\nglobalisation and the US interests directly linked to it, knowing that the\nAmerican Imperium is ensured only in the\npresence of Americans soldiers in the regions of the world and the US political\nsystem has the power to support the interests of the United States.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Pax Russica in Syria<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Russia took advantage of the void created by the withdrawal of 1000 US\nsoldiers from their bases in Syria and with their departure they immediately\ntransported Russian troops to settle on the bases of the Americans and in\nconjunction with the forces of Assad invaded the major cities of northern\nSyria, Kobane, Qamishli, Raka etc.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The reality that was formed shows that if Turkey can be pressured by some\nforces these are the forces of Russia and Assad equally who are the real\nwinners of the war in Syria. The agreement reached in the Russian base in\nHmemim 12 days ago, between Kurds and Assad was the turning point in the developments\ncreated by Turkish invasion.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The meeting between Erdogan and Putin in Sochi, Russia begins outlining the\ncontours of Pax Russica in Syria. The presence of Turkey will be confined to the areas of the Kurds\nthat it has already occupied with its invasion but will not be allowed to enter\nthe major Kurdish cities in northern Syria.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For its part, the Assad government will grant the Kurdish population of\nSyria cultural autonomy (language, education, justice, etc.) to recognise them\nas a nation and give them a satisfactory degree of local self-government while\nthe militia of Kurds will be incorporated into the Syrian army and will take\nover guarding the border in their northern Syrian regions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>After these developments, Russia emerges as the only credible interlocutor-mediator for resolving conflicts in the Middle East. This fact is confirmed that Russia simultaneously talks with Israel, Palestinians, Turkey, Syria, Kurds, Saudis (the recent visit by Putin to Riyadh sent the message to whom the peoples of the Middle East should be looking for their problems) and Iranians.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/10\/320px-96L6E_at_the_MAKS-2011_01.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1412\" width=\"500\" height=\"336\"\/><figcaption><strong>Radar 96LGE from Favorit (S300\/S400)<\/strong><br>Photo by Doomych, https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Public_domain<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Pax Russica and in the whole Middle East?<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The bet from now on is whether Russia and its allies will be able to rebuild Syria that will need huge funds. Russia alone cannot because its economy is reeling from the sanctions imposed due to Ukraine conflict and the annexation of Crimea. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Even if Russia asks for financial aid from Turkey and Iran, both countries are facing serious problems in their economies because of the imposed sanctions on Iran and the vulnerable Turkish economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The only solution for Russia is to seek China&#8217;s help in financing the reconstruction of Syria. In this case, the ancient land trade routes of the Middle East will revive from Tehran-Basra-Baghdad-Syria-the Mediterranean Sea that will have road and rail axes equally which will be accompanied by gas and oil pipelines. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>These land-based trade routes will be joined by the respective China-Pakistan terrestrial trade routes, creating the &#8220;Silk Roads&#8221; envisioned by China.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Normally, China&#8217;s participation in the reconstruction of Syria will be exchanged politically and militarily incentives, e.g. as it was in Sri Lanka, where a billion-dollar debt of the country was erased to China in exchange for the creation of naval and air base equally in the country. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>China has naval and air bases in Pakistan (Gwadar) and in Djibouti in the Horn of Africa. Its next bases will be on the shores of the Mediterranean Sea in Syria and probably in Turkey.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>At the same time Russia is providing arms S-400 for the anti-aircraft and anti-missile protection of most Middle Eastern countries (Iran, Turkey, Syria) and in the future it will be able to associate other customers. Already the range of these weapons systems cover 75% of the Middle East. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>At some point, the Middle East countries that possess the above weapons system will also seek to purchase the advanced technology fighters of Russia to complete their anti-aircraft and anti-ballistic umbrella protection.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It is likely that the Middle East has been lost in the future by the\ngeopolitical sphere of Pax Americana because of the erratic policy implemented by the US President in order to\nwin the upcoming elections in his country.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The big winner in Syria appears to be Russia and the Russian President Vladimir Putin. The American promises made with the agreement between Michael&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3,834],"tags":[1082,161,1148,1167,58,1166],"class_list":["post-1411","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-geopolitical","category-middle-east-geopolitical","tag-assad","tag-china","tag-erdogan","tag-pax-russica","tag-russia","tag-vladimir-putin"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1411","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1411"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1411\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1414,"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1411\/revisions\/1414"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1411"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1411"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1411"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}