{"id":1283,"date":"2019-10-03T14:19:13","date_gmt":"2019-10-03T11:19:13","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/?p=1283"},"modified":"2019-10-03T14:19:15","modified_gmt":"2019-10-03T11:19:15","slug":"the-risk-of-widespread-conflict-in-the-middle-east-to-cancel-us-policy-in-the-region","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/?p=1283","title":{"rendered":"The risk of widespread conflict in the Middle East to cancel US policy in the region"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The fact that Israel and Iran are in direct conflict between the Syrian\nterritory, is drastically increasing the chances of direct military engagement\nbetween the two countries. Their straight confrontation has to do with the fact\nthat Iranian soldiers have taken positions in strategic areas on the Syrian\nterritory and are fighting directly with the Israeli Air Force.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The war clashes that took place in the past through representatives of the\ntwo countries have ceased to exist since 2018 and after an Israeli helicopter\nshot down Iranian drone (UAV) that had taken off Iran&#8217;s\nbase in Syria.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">by <strong>Thanos S. Chonthrogiannis<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:12px\"><em>It is prohibited by intellectual property law or in any way illegal use of this article, with heavy civil and criminal penalties for the offender.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>The support for the geopolitical planning of Iran<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Unlike Russia and based on its moves so far on the geopolitical chessboard of the Middle East, Iran proves that in Syria it has settled in order to remain there forever. Iran has created in Syria its own telephone network, TV channel and other media respectively with aim to influence public opinion.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"alignleft is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/10\/320px-West-Beirut1983.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1284\" width=\"341\" height=\"227\"\/><figcaption><strong>West Beirut (Lebanon)<\/strong><br>Photo by Unknown Photographer,<br>https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Public_domain<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In addition, it has placed\/established its representatives in the form of\nsettlers together with their families in strategic points in the mainland of\nSyria in order to create a complete controlled Shiite arc from Tehran to the\nshores of Mediterranean Sea which arc will always present territorial\ncontinuity.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Iran is already controlling Baghdad, stellateing and gradually appending\nIraq to its geopolitical sphere of influence.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Russia is aware of all these movements of Iran but prefers to defend its\ninterests by fueling the existence of constant fluid instability in the region,\ncreating the conditions so that each time it appears from a position of power\nbetween Israel and Iran. With the deterrence that Russia imposes on Israel in\nentering with its fighters into the airspace area of Syria, Russia ensuring the\ncontinued readiness and protection of Iranian positions in the Syria.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">At the same time, Iran to protect its troops and representatives in Syria\nfrom the devastating and murderous of Israeli fighters and helicopters, has\ngradually added to its sphere of influence Lebanon through Hezbollah.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Iran variously supporting Hezbollah-this organisation is the political\norganization and militia of the Shiites of Lebanon-it manages to participate in\nthe Lebanese government as Hezbollah participates in the Lebanese government.\nHezbollah is in constant unofficial war with Israel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In this way, Iran by controlling the Lebanese government through Hezbollah\nhas transferred its own units and military material to Lebanon.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>The gradual implementation of geo-political planning<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Perhaps in the future, Lebanon will be used as base attacks against Israel\nwith a view to seeking a military response from Israel to these attacks. In a\nmilitary response from Israel to Lebanon, Iran will have succeeded in\n&#8220;drawing&#8221; Lebanon into a war confrontation with Israel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Given the US sanctions to date in Iran, which have caused high economic and\npolitical costs to the Iranian government and given the US support to Saudi\nArabia, which is the energy feeder of the West, as Iran is a corresponding\nenergy feeder of the BRICS&nbsp; and China,\nthe recent attack with&nbsp; drone&nbsp; in the Saudi oil facilities, was a warning\ntracer threat from Iran to the West.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In this way, Iran has shown in a categorical way to the US and the West in general that if Iran cannot export oil\/energy, Saudi Arabia will not be able also to extract it. However, this should be expected from the strategic planners of the USA and the West.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/10\/273px-Oil_and_Gas_Infrastructure_Persian_Gulf_large.gif\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1285\" width=\"447\" height=\"393\"\/><figcaption><strong>Oil and gas pipelines in the Middle-East<\/strong><br>Photo by Energy Information Administration (US), <br>https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Public_domain<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Both Iran and its allies know that US President Donald Trump will not dare\nto move on to new warfare until the US elections in November 2020, because he\ngreatly counts the political costs that will appear in if the American public\nopinion sees dead and wounded American soldiers on its television receivers,\nand when he has been pre-electoral promised to withdraw American troops from\nAfghanistan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">So, given the strategic political cost avoidance strategy which is applied\nby the American President and the imposing US sanctions that have brought Iran\nto its knees, they have led Iran to execute through Houthi fighters in Yemen\nattacking against Saudi Arabia now making Iran dangerous and decisive.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The continued attacks of Yemen&#8217;s Houthi fighters in Saudi Arabia will be\nstepped up as they continue to be equipped by Iran and China, by dragging Saudi\nArabia and its economy into &#8220;quicksand&#8221;. South Saudi Arabia will turn\ninto a war theatre like Syria, with large potential to hit Saudi Arabia&#8217;s\ntourism sector from future drone attacks in tourist places.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In addition, Iran and always through Yemen&#8217;s Houthi fighters will try to\nsabotage Saudi Arabia&#8217;s onshore oil pipelines, disrupting the oil supply and\ndirectly hitting Saudi Arabia\u2019s state revenues. Also, Iran to raise the scale\nof tension in the region could close the Strait of Hormuz prohibiting the\ntransit of oil tankers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In this way, if Iran&#8217;s finger is involved and Lebanon at war with Israel\nalmost all the Middle East region will be a battleground and an expansionism way\nof Iran.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Since Iran manages to consolidate it acquired in most of the Middle East,\nthe next goal will be Egypt through the support Iran will provide to Libya&#8217;s\nfanatical Islamists to win the war against Field Marshal Khalifa Belqasim\nHaftar and then supporting the Muslim Brothers of Egypt.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A support for Libyan Islamic fundamentalists who are currently being taken\nover by Iran&#8217;s great ally in the eastern Mediterranean, Turkey, which is allied\nwith Russia and Iran.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In this scenario the entire Middle East (except Israel) will be controlled\nby Iran and its allies. In fact, the West and US policy will largely be\nannulled throughout the Middle East, at least until the American elections of\n2020, granting control of the Middle East to other forces.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The fact that Israel and Iran are in direct conflict between the Syrian territory, is drastically increasing the chances of direct military engagement between&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3,834],"tags":[1110,1108,160,153,1111,1084,1040,58,1107,1112,215],"class_list":["post-1283","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-geopolitical","category-middle-east-geopolitical","tag-hezbollah","tag-houthi","tag-iran","tag-israel","tag-lebanon","tag-libya","tag-middle-east","tag-russia","tag-saudi-arabia","tag-shiites","tag-us"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1283","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1283"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1283\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1286,"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1283\/revisions\/1286"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1283"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1283"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1283"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}