{"id":1260,"date":"2019-09-26T14:05:13","date_gmt":"2019-09-26T11:05:13","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/?p=1260"},"modified":"2019-09-26T14:05:16","modified_gmt":"2019-09-26T11:05:16","slug":"how-the-melting-of-the-ice-can-increase-both-the-gdp-and-the-geopolitical-risks-of-canada","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/?p=1260","title":{"rendered":"How the melting of the ice can increase both the GDP and the Geopolitical risks of Canada"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The rise of the sea temperature due to global warming and the gradual\nmelting of ice in the Arctic will enable them to transform into much milder the\nextreme prevailing and settled hostile to human survival conditions that\nprevail at the North Pole making the Arctic more easily habitable to\ncolonizable.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">At the same time the northern icy ocean will be all navigable for the\nmerchant ships, changing them to date for centuries of well-known sea trade\nshipping routes and corridors respectively which existed from the time of Vasco\nde Gama and until today.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">By <strong>Thanos S. Chonthrogiannis<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:12px\"><em>It is prohibited by intellectual property law or in any\nway illegal use of this article, with heavy civil and criminal penalties for\nthe offender. <\/em><strong><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">These new under configuration marine trade corridors from Europe to Asia and North America equally and vice versa will no longer have to make the circle of Africa or pass through the Mediterranean Sea and the canal of Suez.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"alignleft\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/09\/320px-Nyk_Aphrodite_p2_approaching_Port_of_Rotterdam_Holland_09-Apr-2007.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1262\"\/><figcaption><strong>NyK Aphrodite IMO 9247754 approaching Port of Rotterdam, Holland (2007)<\/strong><br>Photo by Author: AlfvanBeem, Source: Own Work, <br>https:\/\/creativecommons.org\/publicdomain \/zero\/1.0\/deed\/en<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">For the first time the frozen ports, for the longest period of time,\nMurmansk and Siberia (Russia), Churchill (Canada) will be readily accessible\nfrom the merchant ships of both the northern European countries, and North\nAmerica as well as Russia, China and Japan, drastically reducing the distance\nbetween them (more details on future geopolitical&nbsp;\ndevelopments&nbsp; at&nbsp; Global&nbsp;\nlevel&nbsp; due&nbsp;&nbsp; to Climate&nbsp;\nchange&nbsp; please read&nbsp; the&nbsp;\nanalysis \u00abFuture Global Geopolitical\nDevelopment due to accelerated Climate change\u00bb, category: social, published&nbsp; on&nbsp; 05 September, 2019). <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>The economic and development benefits for Canada<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Canada is one of the countries that will benefit greatly from climate\nchange. As global warming continues and the melting of the ice is accelerating,\nthe more access from the sea and the time of sea accessibility during the year\nto the Canadian Arctic part will be increased. This means an increase in trade by sea and a greater\nvolume of cargo transport to and from North America (Canada) through the North\nPole.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In order Canada to get the most out of these developments, the Canadian\ngovernment should prepare a large public investment package to create the right\ninfrastructure for both existing ports and airports (for the transport of\nhighly sensitive products from the air) as to the reconstruction of any road\nnetwork and why not a rail network if the temperature will not fall below -15\ndegrees Celsius during the year (if the&nbsp;\ntemperature&nbsp; decreases&nbsp; to&nbsp;\n-30&nbsp; and&nbsp; -40&nbsp;\ndegrees&nbsp; Celsius&nbsp; and&nbsp;\nas&nbsp; it was done until&nbsp; today&nbsp;\nthen&nbsp; the&nbsp; rail&nbsp;\nnetwork is distorted&nbsp; and&nbsp; breaks). <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Then the Canadian government have to give strong incentives to populate the\nCanadian Arctic part, gradually creating new cities that will absorb for\npermanent habitation and establishment all those citizens and their families\nwho work in the sectors of transport of sea products, winter and alternative tourism,\nfishing, extraction of rare earth and hydrocarbons, in the construction sector,\nin the energy sector, etc.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">These incentives should be in the form of tax exemptions for a specified\nperiod, accompanied by zero and\/or negative interest rate loans (basically we\nrefer to loans with subsidized lending rate) for the development and\nacquisition of housing and creating businesses in those areas. To date all\nbusinesses operating in the Canadian arctic part contribute less than 2.35% in\nCanada&#8217;s annual GDP.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A public investment package of around $35 billion (USD) can eject the\nannual growth rate of Canadian GDP to 5%-6% for at least a decade, while the\nexisting annual GDP will increase by 20%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This means a drastic reduction in unemployment, an increase in the rate of acceptance of migrants from all over the world (due to increased labour demand) in order to rapidly populate the Arctic part belonging to Canada, increase in social security contributions to Canadian social security funds, and of course a drastic increase in revenues in the Canadian state&#8217;s coffers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/09\/The_Resource_Basin_in_the_Arctic_Circle_.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1261\" width=\"541\" height=\"412\"\/><figcaption><strong>The Resource Basin in the Arctic Circle<\/strong><br>Photo by Author: US Geological Survey, <br>Source: Arctic oil and natural gas resources, Today in Energy, US Energy information Administration, licensed Public Domain https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Public_domain<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>The geopolitical dangers that will face Canada <\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">But the drastic reduction of ice and the ever-increasing period of\npermanent residence in the Arctic part of Canada creates parallel and increased\ngeopolitical risks for Canada.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Given Russia&#8217;s strong interest in controlling the Arctic is constantly\nincreasing in the future the chances of Canada accepting in its Arctic part\nairborne initially military invasion by the Arctic, which Arctic will be\ncontrolled by Russia and without the Russian troops having to go through the\nstate of Alaska belonging to the United States.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">To date, the extreme cold conditions and Arctic ice covering land and sea\nwere the insurmountable obstacle that protected Canada from any invasion by the\nNorth Pole. With Climate change and the accelerated melting of the arctic ice,\nthis insurmountable natural obstacle that protected Canada gradually ceases to\nexist.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This means that the drastic increase in the density of the Canadian\npopulation in the Canadian Arctic part is judged to be immediately enforced so\nthat large population densities\/masses can be subjected to move and support\nboth in provision of human resources and in terms of logistics in the first\ninstance the armed forces of Canada in the event of an invasion by the Arctic.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Canada may be covered defensively by NATO and the USA but that does not\nmean that everything should be left to complacency, given that the US is\nincreasingly turning their attention to China.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In this case Canada will have to drastically increase its defense spending\nand mainly spending on R&amp;D&nbsp; in the\nmilitary-defense sector with great\nemphasis being given to its domestic defense industry to&nbsp; maximize at the same time the benefits to its\neconomy and the further development of its GDP, achieving and exporting to\ndefense material.&nbsp;&nbsp; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The rise of the sea temperature due to global warming and the gradual melting of ice in the Arctic will enable them to transform&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[831,3],"tags":[403,1090,957,456,124,1093,1092],"class_list":["post-1260","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-america-geopolitical-issues","category-geopolitical","tag-canada","tag-canadian-gdp","tag-climate-change","tag-defense-spending","tag-nato","tag-rd","tag-russian-invasion-in-canadian-arctic-part"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1260","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1260"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1260\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1265,"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1260\/revisions\/1265"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1260"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1260"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1260"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}