{"id":10633,"date":"2022-11-10T15:00:15","date_gmt":"2022-11-10T13:00:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/?p=10633"},"modified":"2026-01-21T12:10:22","modified_gmt":"2026-01-21T10:10:22","slug":"surovikin-plan-for-a-massive-offensive-in-the-spring-with-the-capture-of-kiev","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/?p=10633","title":{"rendered":"Surovikin plan for a massive offensive in the Spring with the capture of Kiev"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Everything is moving from the Russian side based on the new plan of Pterarch Surovikin, even the retreat on one side of the Dnieper, since the goal is a future general attack aimed even at Kyiv, taking everyone by surprise, according to Russian media.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In winter, the Ukrainian fronts wait in relative calm. But in the spring, a massive attack by Russian troops is expected, in many directions at once.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This was stated by the first deputy chairman of the national defense, security and intelligence committee of the Ukrainian parliament and the former commander of the Ukrainian Airborne Forces, General Mykhailo Zambrodsky.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>What is the Russian plan for Ukraine<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Russian troops will regroup and, with the help of thousands of reinforcements, they are already creating 2 new strike army groups. One of them will deliver a crushing blow from Zaporizhia in the direction of Dnepropetrovsk.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The second army group will strike from the northeast, including the Belgorod region &#8211; towards the Sumy, Poltava and Dnepropetrovsk regions. Thus, two Russian counterattacks will &#8220;cut&#8221; the Ukrainian front in two on the left bank of the Dnieper.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Moreover, unlike the first phase of the special operation, when General Alexander Dvornikov was the commander of all Russian forces in Ukraine, now the tactics of the Russians have also changed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Under Russian General Dvornikov, the main task was to capture Ukrainian cities, but under Wing Commander Sergei Surovykin, priority was given to neutralizing logistics routes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Also under Surovykin, the Russian group of forces in Dobas increased pressure across the line of contact on units of the Western Military Command of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. But now the most determined offensive under way is towards the South in Donetsk.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Operational developments on the battlefield<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In recent weeks, detachments of Russian troops occupied several areas in Vremovka, Sladkoye, Nikolsky, Vladimirovka and Rovnopol, while individual Ukrainian counterattacks were easily repelled.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ukraine reports a determined advance of Russian troops towards Artemovsk (Bakhmut) and Soledar, while Ukrainian groups have reached the outskirts of Pavlovka.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ukrainian general Zabrodsky believes that the aim of the Russian offensive in South Donetsk is to contain the most combat-ready forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If this becomes a reality, it will allow the outcome of the battles to be reversed for the Russian side during the spring battle on the Dnieper.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The International Crisis Group (ICC) institute notes that the West is forced, like a tightrope walker, to balance between many unpopular decisions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On the one hand, to continue the promised arms supplies to Ukraine, while on the other hand, a sharp escalation of relations with Russia should be avoided.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>From a completely different angle, many Western politicians no longer want to anger their constituents, who are experiencing a severe economic crisis (due to the war), with rising prices, unemployment and fuel shortages.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In the event of a decisive Russian offensive in the spring, there will likely be no one to negotiate with Moscow and Kyiv will be occupied,&#8221; the Russian article concludes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The scene in the region is on a razor&#8217;s edge and all possibilities are open due to the massive defense aid of the west to Ukraine.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, as everything shows, the Russians will have the last word, who, if they gather a force of 450,000 soldiers, will then reach deep into Ukrainian territory, as far as Kyiv, if the West does not intervene even more decisively by then.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Everything is moving from the Russian side based on the new plan of Pterarch Surovikin, even the retreat on one side of the Dnieper,&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":27650,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2362,7,3830],"tags":[58,1156,1976,3395],"class_list":["post-10633","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-military-science","category-research","category-war-in-ukraine","tag-russia","tag-ukraine","tag-war","tag-war-in-ukraine"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10633","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=10633"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10633\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":27797,"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10633\/revisions\/27797"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/27650"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=10633"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=10633"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=10633"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}