{"id":10185,"date":"2022-10-16T00:03:20","date_gmt":"2022-10-15T21:03:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/?p=10185"},"modified":"2022-10-16T00:27:54","modified_gmt":"2022-10-15T21:27:54","slug":"the-geopolitical-and-energy-game-behind-the-crisis-and-the-war","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/?p=10185","title":{"rendered":"The Geopolitical and Energy Game behind the Crisis and the War"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

It is certain that Russia’s responsibilities for the global energy crisis that resulted in price spikes and inflationary pressures are great. Societies elect their leaders to defend their own interests. This is supposed to be done by the European and the Russian respectively.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Russian invasion of Ukraine should simply be taken as a basic datum in strategic planning aimed at dealing with the consequences of the crisis in European society. Effectiveness in this task will also judge the evaluation of responsible leaders.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

It is not the purpose of this analysis to examine how the crisis is handled. By definition, if the trial finds you unprepared, the consequences will be dire. This is what the ordinary European citizen finds out today. Just as he has every right to be surprised by the obsessions that horizontally govern the European political system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The “law” of supply and demand vs. obsessions<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

As obsessive, unscientific and destructive for the pocket of the average citizen, the reference to RES (Renewable Energy Sources), as a panacea for solving the energy crisis, is considered by our magazine. We even got the leaders of the EU member states to believe that investments in RES are the only solution. Unfortunately, this reveals either a limited understanding of the international debate on the causes of the crisis, or a predisposition to incur a cost that the average European family cannot bear.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Let’s explain it. The energy crisis was triggered by the global disruption of the balance of supply and demand in the hydrocarbon sector. This did not happen by accident. The goal was the rapid change of energy mix, the so-called green transition, with the real justification but also the pretext of the effects on the environment.<\/p>\n\n\n

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Political leaders, however, are not needed by a country to regurgitate easy-to-digest slogans, but to diagnose in time and deal with an upcoming crisis. And hydrocarbon prices had been on the rise long before Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Several analysts believed that the high energy prices would not be a passing phenomenon, as top EU government officials insisted at the time.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

They certainly failed to foresee the shocking magnitude of the problem! The huge increase in prices and energy costs is now being used as a convenient excuse to cover up the responsibilities in the fundamental observation of disturbing the balance of supply and demand! Where the Western world as a whole, simply put, played and lost.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Western world played the bet of violently abandoning hydrocarbons, without the technology to store the energy from RES to ensure the stability of the grids. There are strong doubts about how “green” renewables are, which use tons of rare earths. Rare earths must be replaced after about two decades of use, while their extraction is the most polluting for the environment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

But it is striking that the voices of entrepreneurs are not heard in Brussels and in the EU institutions. Voices that have said in all tones and to an international audience, that “the transition to cleaner forms of energy will be permanent and will cost a lot” and that oil \u2013 not even natural gas \u2013 will continue to accompany us for another century, accusing many of talking political nonsense.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u03a4he main point of the argument<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

These are enough to give the main point of the argument. But let’s try to take it a step further, by formulating some logical questions:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

1.<\/strong> Could it be that the very obvious \u2013 and now self-evident \u2013 errors of the hasty energy transition are the cause of today’s woes?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

2.<\/strong> Could it be that the geopolitical goal of de-dependence from Russian hydrocarbons that is currently emerging as a result of the Russian invasion of Ukraine was the background of the hasty energy transition from the beginning?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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The Geopolitical Game in Eurasia<\/p>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n

3. <\/strong>Could it be that the goal from the beginning was to reduce the geopolitical power of the Russian Federation with the argument of making Europe independent of Russian energy? It is not necessary to disagree with the objective to conclude that the strategy devised to achieve it was foolish, as it involved uncalculated risk.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

4. <\/strong>Was part of this essentially geopolitical plan, under the guise of environmental protection, aimed at countering the ever-increasing entanglement of a Germany that increasingly controlled Europe with Russia? It is recalled that in Anglo-Saxon geopolitical thought, the cooperation of two great Eurasian powers is anathema.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

5.<\/strong> Was it decided that this cooperation of two great powers (Russia and Germany) would have a catalytic effect on the global balance, much faster than the multi-problematic strategic relationship between Russia and China, so it should take priority?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

6.<\/strong> Was this plan correctly read as a mortal threat in Moscow, and seeing its weak points it was decided to use it in time to the detriment of its initiators? If this is the case, then maybe the arrival of NATO on Russia’s borders was not even a primary motivation for the outbreak of the conflict in Ukraine?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

7.<\/strong> Does the above help to understand why the Russian leader chose to go ahead with the invasion, even though it is reported by Western media reports that there was a peace proposal on the table that ensured him much of what he sought? That is, because the strategic game was even greater?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

8.<\/strong> Having said that, does this also explain the obsessive avoidance of the European and Greek political system as a whole in the perspective of exploiting the hydrocarbon deposits that exist in the Eastern Mediterranean and the problem is not simply limited to Turkish predation? And on top of what was taken for granted, business interests were “built”.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

How else would they justify the refusal, while lignite units are being put into operation so that Europe does not risk a blackout in the coming winter?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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The Energy Game in Eastern Mediterranean<\/p>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The conclusions<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finally, if the above reasoning is even close to reality, it perhaps explains the political silence on issues that the political leaders of the EU may consider to be beyond their scope. However, if the situation had been read correctly from the beginning, the goal of reducing Russia’s geopolitical influence would have been served by a more deliberate disengagement from Russian hydrocarbons that would also involve the Eastern Mediterranean region.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A significant part of the profits could be directed to the intensification of scientific research that would lead to the development of technologies that would make RES sustainable and the “green transition” rational. What happened; Did the EU leaders not read the picture correctly, being addicted to the logic of cheap gas supporting development and we don’t care where it comes from, or is there another explanation? The only thing certain is that not everyone experiences the crisis in the same way.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Anyone who wants to applaud the EU leaders is free to do so. Real freedom, however, is the possibility guaranteed by democracy to express one’s point of view, away from shackles and other shackles. It is the generalization of this process that would put substantial pressure on any political leadership to change course. Because if, by their silence, the big names pay off political bills for various reasons, one wonders what is the interest of the ordinary European citizen who is suffering, to choose the attitude of the applause.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

It is certain that Russia’s responsibilities for the global energy crisis that resulted in price spikes and inflationary pressures are great. Societies elect their…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[825,3],"tags":[2391,3455,25,3761,1490,2934,58,215],"class_list":["post-10185","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-europe-geopolitical","category-geopolitical","tag-energy","tag-energy-crisis","tag-eu","tag-geopolitical-game","tag-geopolitics","tag-germany-3","tag-russia","tag-us"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10185","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=10185"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10185\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":10204,"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10185\/revisions\/10204"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=10185"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=10185"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.liberalglobe.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=10185"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}